Human internal exposures to alternariol and its monomethyl ether are predicted below thresholds of in vitro toxicity by physiologically based kinetic modeling

Abstract The foodborne mycotoxins alternariol (AOH) and alternariol monomethyl ether (AME) have been associated with several adverse effects, including cytotoxicity, genotoxicity, endocrine disruption, and immunomodulation. As these endpoints are typically observed in vitro at micromolar concentrations, the question arises whether such levels are attainable in exposed humans. To address this data gap in chemical risk assessment, a physiologically based kinetic (PBK) model was developed to predict internal exposure doses to AOH and AME in humans. As input parameters, kinetic constants for hepatic glucuronidation were obtained in vitro by incubating Sprague Dawley rat and human liver S9 fractions with 0.5–50 µM AOH and 0.5–20 µM AME, demonstrating rapid biotransformation in both species. Intestinal absorption of AME and physicochemical parameters were estimated using quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) models. Sensitivity analysis identified parameters describing hepatic glucuronidation and gastrointestinal uptake as among the most influential, confirming the importance of their reliable estimation. The PBK model was evaluated against available rodent toxicokinetic data and subsequently extrapolated to humans. Ultimately, the currently available exposure estimates published by EFSA in 2016 were applied to predict target tissue concentrations, which were compared to points of departure (PoDs) for relevant toxicological endpoints. Even in the most susceptible group of male toddlers, predicted internal concentrations (10⁻ 4 µM range) were approximately four orders of magnitude below the respective PoDs. Consequently, under the applied exposure assumptions and considering the compounds as isolated chemicals, AOH and AME are not expected to reach systemic or tissue concentrations associated with the investigated effects.