CDN-344: The Population Prior Closure Test - Art Edition

CDN-344 propagates the CDN-343 lognormal concentration prior through the full 20-lens SLACS contracted Channel B ledger. Using c0=10.0 and sigma_log10(c)=0.15 dex, the paper distinguishes coherent single-c closure from independent lens-by-lens concentration draws. Coherent full-sample closure remains a 21.2% upper-tail event at c>=13.174, but independent BE draws yield expected pass count 17.67/20, P(20/20)=3.5%, and P(>=19/20)=24.0%. The simple-MOND boost raises P(20/20) to 6.7% but does not remove the population-level tension. Verdict: POPULATION_PRIOR_CLOSURE_STRAINED.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-06-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20844633
Primary Topic
Cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

CDN-344: The Population Prior Closure Test - Art Edition

Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias
article

CDN-344: The Population Prior Closure Test - Art Edition

Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier
article en

Abstract

CDN-344 propagates the CDN-343 lognormal concentration prior through the full 20-lens SLACS contracted Channel B ledger. Using c0=10.0 and sigma_log10(c)=0.15 dex, the paper distinguishes coherent single-c closure from independent lens-by-lens concentration draws. Coherent full-sample closure remains a 21.2% upper-tail event at c>=13.174, but independent BE draws yield expected pass count 17.67/20, P(20/20)=3.5%, and P(>=19/20)=24.0%. The simple-MOND boost raises P(20/20) to 6.7% but does not remove the population-level tension. Verdict: POPULATION_PRIOR_CLOSURE_STRAINED.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Dynamique du noyau (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias
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