Optimization of Land-Based Impact Zones for Spent Rocket Stages Launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome

The article presents a comprehensive methodology for optimizing ground impact zones of spent rocket stages based on the integration of geoinformation analysis, remote sensing of Earth, ballistic modeling, and ecosystem sustainability assessment. An information and analytical system (IAS) has been developed and tested, providing automated selection of environmentally sustainable landing points within acceptable dispersion zones. The methodology includes the use of the NDVI, digital terrain models, soil quality assessments, fire hazard assessments, and environmental damage calculations. For the first time, a system for classifying operational-territorial units according to their level of resilience to man-made impacts has been formed. The results suggest the potential for the reduction of the dangerous impact zone under modeled conditions. The system architecture is designed to be scalable and applicable to other spaceports located in continental regions. The presented methodology contributes to the development of an environmentally oriented approach to aerospace infrastructure management.

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Publication Details

Journal
Aerospace
Published
2026-06-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace13070572
Primary Topic
High-Velocity Impact and Material Behavior
Type
article
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article

Optimization of Land-Based Impact Zones for Spent Rocket Stages Launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome

Gulnaz Yermoldina, Nurlan Suimenbayev, Elmira Yermoldina, Aliya Yskak
Aerospace
High-Velocity Impact and Material Behavior
article

Optimization of Land-Based Impact Zones for Spent Rocket Stages Launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome

Gulnaz Yermoldina, Nurlan Suimenbayev, Elmira Yermoldina, Aliya Yskak
article en

Abstract

The article presents a comprehensive methodology for optimizing ground impact zones of spent rocket stages based on the integration of geoinformation analysis, remote sensing of Earth, ballistic modeling, and ecosystem sustainability assessment. An information and analytical system (IAS) has been developed and tested, providing automated selection of environmentally sustainable landing points within acceptable dispersion zones. The methodology includes the use of the NDVI, digital terrain models, soil quality assessments, fire hazard assessments, and environmental damage calculations. For the first time, a system for classifying operational-territorial units according to their level of resilience to man-made impacts has been formed. The results suggest the potential for the reduction of the dangerous impact zone under modeled conditions. The system architecture is designed to be scalable and applicable to other spaceports located in continental regions. The presented methodology contributes to the development of an environmentally oriented approach to aerospace infrastructure management.

AerospaceVol. 13(7)
Al-Farabi Kazakh National University (KZ), Enterprise State Community College (US), National Center of Space Research and Technology (KZ), Institute of Information and Computational Technologies (KZ), Kostanay State University A Baitursynov (KZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
High-Velocity Impact and Material Behavior
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Optimization of Land-Based Impact Zones for Spent Rocket Stages Launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome — Gulnaz Yermoldina, Nurlan Suimenbayev, et al. · Aerospace (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS