Machine learning is revolutionizing weather forecasting - the next step is a change in how we work

Following the success of machine learning in producing weather predictions with competitive skill compared to complex traditional systems, this article shifts attention from forecast output to the working practices that make prediction systems possible. We argue that machine learning and recent digital technologies will reshape the forecasting value chain: how models are coded and developed, how observations and Earth-system data are exploited, how data and computing are managed, how systems are verified, and how information is created, evaluated and turned into services. We discuss six non-exhaustive areas in which agentic software engineering, open and compressed data, shared verification workflows, interactive computing and generative methods may make modelling, evaluation and service creation faster, more interactive and more widely accessible. These changes will require weather and climate centres to adapt their infrastructures, data stewardship, trust and quality-assurance frameworks, skills and service delivery while maintaining scientific understanding, operational reliability, human expertise and their public-service role.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the European Meteorological Society.
Published
2026-09-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jemets.2026.100050
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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Machine learning is revolutionizing weather forecasting - the next step is a change in how we work

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Machine learning is revolutionizing weather forecasting - the next step is a change in how we work

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article en

Abstract

Following the success of machine learning in producing weather predictions with competitive skill compared to complex traditional systems, this article shifts attention from forecast output to the working practices that make prediction systems possible. We argue that machine learning and recent digital technologies will reshape the forecasting value chain: how models are coded and developed, how observations and Earth-system data are exploited, how data and computing are managed, how systems are verified, and how information is created, evaluated and turned into services. We discuss six non-exhaustive areas in which agentic software engineering, open and compressed data, shared verification workflows, interactive computing and generative methods may make modelling, evaluation and service creation faster, more interactive and more widely accessible. These changes will require weather and climate centres to adapt their infrastructures, data stewardship, trust and quality-assurance frameworks, skills and service delivery while maintaining scientific understanding, operational reliability, human expertise and their public-service role.

Journal of the European Meteorological Society.Vol. 5
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 45%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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