Evolution of Climate–Agriculture Research from 1990 to 2025: A Large-Scale Bibliometric and Semantic Mapping Analysis

Climate change is reshaping agricultural systems by altering temperature and rainfall regimes, increasing the frequency of extreme events, and intensifying risks to crop productivity, water use, and farm decision-making. As climate–agriculture research expands rapidly, it becomes increasingly difficult to identify consolidated knowledge domains, emerging priorities, and evidence gaps. This study maps the structure and evolution of this literature using 219,261 Scopus-indexed documents selected from 290,560 records published between 1990 and 2025. A text-mining workflow combined BERTopic-based semantic modeling with supervised thematic classification into 18 macro-themes, while annual shares, z-scores, and document-level primary–secondary co-framing were used to assess temporal salience and cross-theme coupling. The results show sustained growth in research output, with 53.67% of publications produced between 2016 and 2025, and strong geographical concentration in the United States and China, which together account for 41.98% of the corpus. Hydrology and water management, crop production, impact assessment, and atmospheric processes remain central pillars, while socio-economic vulnerability, food security, sustainability, biotechnology, and greenhouse gas mitigation have gained prominence. The resulting evidence map provides a reproducible overview of the climate–agriculture knowledge landscape and can support research prioritization and policy design for climate-resilient agrifood systems.