The network stress index for power grid resilience

This paper presents the Network Stress Index (NSI) for power grid resilience, a transition-era diagnostic instrument for cross-national assessment of electricity-network stress across 40 jurisdictions, representing approximately 87% of global electricity consumption. The NSI is a transparent, weight-adjustable composite of five normalised dimensions: integration stress, investment gap, connection-queue ratio, SAIDI reliability, and network cost share, deployed as a deposited, citable interactive dashboard. It is offered as a practical diagnostic rather than a new theoretical framework. Its main observation is that, across high-income systems, integration stress and outage duration are weakly associated, so several jurisdictions conventionally regarded as well-managed (Ireland, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom) rank among the more stressed ones once integration and queue dimensions are measured, despite low SAIDI. In contrast, the highest-SAIDI systems (South Africa, Argentina, Brazil) face a distinct, statistically distinguishable challenge rooted in generation adequacy and network underinvestment. A regression of observed SAIDI on the structural dimensions reinforces this separation: outage duration is predicted by the investment-gap dimension but not by integration stress. By making the weighting explicit and user-adjustable, the framework aims to expose rather than conceal the normative choices any composite embeds, and to support the differentiation of network-investment priorities and the allocation of grid-related climate finance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energy Strategy Reviews
Published
2026-08-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2026.102337
Primary Topic
Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
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article
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The network stress index for power grid resilience

Sinan Küfeoğlu
Energy Strategy Reviews
Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
article

The network stress index for power grid resilience

Sinan Küfeoğlu
article en

Abstract

This paper presents the Network Stress Index (NSI) for power grid resilience, a transition-era diagnostic instrument for cross-national assessment of electricity-network stress across 40 jurisdictions, representing approximately 87% of global electricity consumption. The NSI is a transparent, weight-adjustable composite of five normalised dimensions: integration stress, investment gap, connection-queue ratio, SAIDI reliability, and network cost share, deployed as a deposited, citable interactive dashboard. It is offered as a practical diagnostic rather than a new theoretical framework. Its main observation is that, across high-income systems, integration stress and outage duration are weakly associated, so several jurisdictions conventionally regarded as well-managed (Ireland, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom) rank among the more stressed ones once integration and queue dimensions are measured, despite low SAIDI. In contrast, the highest-SAIDI systems (South Africa, Argentina, Brazil) face a distinct, statistically distinguishable challenge rooted in generation adequacy and network underinvestment. A regression of observed SAIDI on the structural dimensions reinforces this separation: outage duration is predicted by the investment-gap dimension but not by integration stress. By making the weighting explicit and user-adjustable, the framework aims to expose rather than conceal the normative choices any composite embeds, and to support the differentiation of network-investment priorities and the allocation of grid-related climate finance.

Energy Strategy ReviewsVol. 67
University of Vaasa (FI)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 43%
Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis
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