Simulation of Winter Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) Response to Saline Irrigation Using AquaCrop in the Tadla Plain, Morocco: Implications for Irrigation Management

Saline irrigation is increasingly practiced in semi-arid regions to cope with freshwater scarcity; however, it strongly affects crop growth, water use, and soil salinity. This study aims to calibrate and validate the AquaCrop model to simulate key growth parameters of winter wheat (cv. Achtar) under saline irrigation conditions in the Tadla Plain, Morocco, focusing on canopy cover (CC), actual evapotranspiration (ETa), soil water content (SWC), biomass (B), and grain yield (GY). The model was first calibrated using observed data from the 2023 growing season and subsequently validated using data from the 2022 growing season. Overall, AquaCrop effectively reproduced crop growth during both calibration and validation phases. During calibration, canopy cover was accurately simulated, with average RMSE values below 1%, while biomass and grain yield were also well reproduced, with low RMSE values (0.25 t ha−1 for B and 0.10 t ha−1 for GY), confirming the robustness of the calibrated parameters. The model also performed well in simulating ETa and SWC, capturing the seasonal dynamics of crop water use and soil moisture. During validation, ETa was satisfactorily reproduced, with an RMSE of approximately 0.80 mm day−1, while SWC showed good agreement with observations, with NRMSE values ranging from 7.9 to 10.5%. Grain yield and biomass were reliably predicted, with NRMSE values below 4%. These results demonstrate that AquaCrop is a reliable tool for simulating winter wheat under saline irrigation and for assessing crop response under salt-affected conditions, providing an integrated evaluation of crop performance, water use, and soil salinity dynamics to support improved irrigation management and water-use efficiency under semi-arid conditions.