Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Hourly Precipitation Extremes in the Contiguous United States

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) are major drivers of contiguous United States (CONUS) flooding, yet their contribution to hourly precipitation extremes remains poorly quantified. Here we link observations from 420 gauges (1980–2024) with TC track data to attribute extreme hourly precipitation to both local and remote TCs. Remote TC contributions are identified via atmospheric river (AR) objects using the TempestExtremes framework applied to a global AR database. We identify 254 TCs that contributed to extreme hourly precipitation, affecting 76% of stations. While local contributions from Atlantic TCs are prevalent in eastern CONUS, remote influences from Pacific TCs contribute to precipitation extremes in the rest of CONUS. The number of TCs resulting in extreme hourly precipitation has increased significantly in northeast and southeast CONUS since 1980. These results reveal that TC‐linked moisture represents a contributor to short‐duration precipitation extremes across a broader area of CONUS than previously recognized.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-06-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl122815
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Hourly Precipitation Extremes in the Contiguous United States

John T. Abatzoglou, Dmitri Kalashnikov, Alyssa M. Stansfield
Geophysical Research Letters
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
article

Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Hourly Precipitation Extremes in the Contiguous United States

John T. Abatzoglou, Dmitri Kalashnikov, Alyssa M. Stansfield
article en

Abstract

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) are major drivers of contiguous United States (CONUS) flooding, yet their contribution to hourly precipitation extremes remains poorly quantified. Here we link observations from 420 gauges (1980–2024) with TC track data to attribute extreme hourly precipitation to both local and remote TCs. Remote TC contributions are identified via atmospheric river (AR) objects using the TempestExtremes framework applied to a global AR database. We identify 254 TCs that contributed to extreme hourly precipitation, affecting 76% of stations. While local contributions from Atlantic TCs are prevalent in eastern CONUS, remote influences from Pacific TCs contribute to precipitation extremes in the rest of CONUS. The number of TCs resulting in extreme hourly precipitation has increased significantly in northeast and southeast CONUS since 1980. These results reveal that TC‐linked moisture represents a contributor to short‐duration precipitation extremes across a broader area of CONUS than previously recognized.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(12)
University of California, Merced (US), University of Utah (US), Merced College (US)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
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