Critical transitions and intelligent control in complex systems

Abstract Critical transitions, or ‘tipping points’, are abundant across physical, engineering and biological systems. These infrequent but substantial occurrences—resembling ‘black swan’ events—can trigger abrupt and irreversible changes in neurological health, climate dynamics and ecosystem resilience. Surpassing a critical threshold often represents a point of no return, making the detection and prediction of these phenomena essential for mitigating their far-reaching consequences. By integrating stochastic and nonlinear dynamical systems, topological methods, non-equilibrium statistical mechanics and machine learning with observational data, a natural framework emerges for modelling, simulating and predicting these transitions. This thematic issue presents 12 articles that advance our understanding of tipping mechanisms, early warning indicators and intelligent control strategies. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Critical transitions and intelligent control in complex systems’.

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Publication Details

Journal
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
Published
2026-06-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2026.0062
Primary Topic
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
Type
article
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article

Critical transitions and intelligent control in complex systems

Jinqiao Duan, Ting Gao
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
article

Critical transitions and intelligent control in complex systems

Jinqiao Duan, Ting Gao
article en

Abstract

Abstract Critical transitions, or ‘tipping points’, are abundant across physical, engineering and biological systems. These infrequent but substantial occurrences—resembling ‘black swan’ events—can trigger abrupt and irreversible changes in neurological health, climate dynamics and ecosystem resilience. Surpassing a critical threshold often represents a point of no return, making the detection and prediction of these phenomena essential for mitigating their far-reaching consequences. By integrating stochastic and nonlinear dynamical systems, topological methods, non-equilibrium statistical mechanics and machine learning with observational data, a natural framework emerges for modelling, simulating and predicting these transitions. This thematic issue presents 12 articles that advance our understanding of tipping mechanisms, early warning indicators and intelligent control strategies. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Critical transitions and intelligent control in complex systems’.

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering SciencesVol. 384(2322)
Dongguan University of Technology (CN), Huazhong University of Science and Technology (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
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Critical transitions and intelligent control in complex systems — Jinqiao Duan, Ting Gao · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS