The risk of global Ebola virus spread is low: epidemiology of Ebola disease cases outside Africa, 1976 to May 2026
Following the Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in May 2026, we reviewed all known Ebola disease cases outside Africa and found that intercontinental transmission risk remains low. We identified 28 confirmed epidemic-linked cases outside Africa; only four involved travellers with latent infection whose symptoms were detected after border screening. Excluding medically evacuated cases, the crude overall risk since 2000 was 0.17 Ebola disease cases outside Africa per 1,000 reported cases in Africa.
Authors
- Simon R. Procter (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0380-1503)
- Katharine Sherratt (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2049-3423)
- Kevin van Zandvoort (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7770-0537)
- James M. Azam
- Nicholas G Davies
Institutions
- Foreign and Commonwealth Office (GB)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Eurosurveillance
- Published
- 2026-06-18
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2026.31.24.2600508
- Primary Topic
- Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00