The risk of global Ebola virus spread is low: epidemiology of Ebola disease cases outside Africa, 1976 to May 2026

Following the Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in May 2026, we reviewed all known Ebola disease cases outside Africa and found that intercontinental transmission risk remains low. We identified 28 confirmed epidemic-linked cases outside Africa; only four involved travellers with latent infection whose symptoms were detected after border screening. Excluding medically evacuated cases, the crude overall risk since 2000 was 0.17 Ebola disease cases outside Africa per 1,000 reported cases in Africa.

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Publication Details

Journal
Eurosurveillance
Published
2026-06-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es.2026.31.24.2600508
Primary Topic
Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The risk of global Ebola virus spread is low: epidemiology of Ebola disease cases outside Africa, 1976 to May 2026

Simon R. Procter, Katharine Sherratt, Kevin van Zandvoort, James M. Azam et al.
Eurosurveillance
Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
article

The risk of global Ebola virus spread is low: epidemiology of Ebola disease cases outside Africa, 1976 to May 2026

Simon R. Procter, Katharine Sherratt, Kevin van Zandvoort, James M. Azam, Nicholas G Davies
article en

Abstract

Following the Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo in May 2026, we reviewed all known Ebola disease cases outside Africa and found that intercontinental transmission risk remains low. We identified 28 confirmed epidemic-linked cases outside Africa; only four involved travellers with latent infection whose symptoms were detected after border screening. Excluding medically evacuated cases, the crude overall risk since 2000 was 0.17 Ebola disease cases outside Africa per 1,000 reported cases in Africa.

EurosurveillanceVol. 31(24)
Foreign and Commonwealth Office (GB), London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
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