An Integrated Framework for Multi-UAV Trajectory Prediction and Handover Optimization in 5G Networks

The proliferation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in various applications has created a pressing need for robust and efficient communication systems. Fifth-generation (5G) networks can support UAV connectivity through high bandwidth and low-latency communication; however, rapid three-dimensional UAV mobility creates handover-management challenges that can increase signalling overhead, service interruption, and Quality of Service (QoS) degradation. This paper presents an integrated framework that combines LSTM-based multi-UAV trajectory prediction with proactive handover optimization using an Advantage Actor–Critic (A2C) Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) agent. The LSTM predictor is evaluated on a real-world UAV trajectory dataset and reports a root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.37 m over a 5 s prediction horizon after conversion to a local East–North–Up coordinate frame. A lightweight simulation-level coordination mechanism is included to reduce simultaneous target-cell contention among multiple UAVs; it is not claimed as a new standardized 3GPP signalling procedure. Handover performance is evaluated by replaying 180 held-out flight trajectories in a controlled 5G simulation across ten independent random seeds. Under these stated assumptions, the proposed framework achieves a handover success rate of 94.2±0.8%, an average SINR of 15.8±0.2 dB, a handover delay of 45.2±1.1 ms, and a handover frequency of 0.85±0.05 HOs/min, outperforming the tuned 3GPP A3, reactive SINR, and CASH baselines in the reported simulation results (Wilcoxon signed-rank test, p<0.01, Bonferroni-corrected). The experimental setup is described in detail to support methodological transparency and facilitate future replication, but the handover results should be interpreted as simulation-based evidence rather than live-network validation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Electronics
Published
2026-06-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15122702
Primary Topic
UAV Applications and Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

An Integrated Framework for Multi-UAV Trajectory Prediction and Handover Optimization in 5G Networks

Rafet Akdeniz, Ahmed Lateef Salih Al-Karawi
Electronics
UAV Applications and Optimization
article

An Integrated Framework for Multi-UAV Trajectory Prediction and Handover Optimization in 5G Networks

Rafet Akdeniz, Ahmed Lateef Salih Al-Karawi
article en

Abstract

The proliferation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in various applications has created a pressing need for robust and efficient communication systems. Fifth-generation (5G) networks can support UAV connectivity through high bandwidth and low-latency communication; however, rapid three-dimensional UAV mobility creates handover-management challenges that can increase signalling overhead, service interruption, and Quality of Service (QoS) degradation. This paper presents an integrated framework that combines LSTM-based multi-UAV trajectory prediction with proactive handover optimization using an Advantage Actor–Critic (A2C) Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) agent. The LSTM predictor is evaluated on a real-world UAV trajectory dataset and reports a root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.37 m over a 5 s prediction horizon after conversion to a local East–North–Up coordinate frame. A lightweight simulation-level coordination mechanism is included to reduce simultaneous target-cell contention among multiple UAVs; it is not claimed as a new standardized 3GPP signalling procedure. Handover performance is evaluated by replaying 180 held-out flight trajectories in a controlled 5G simulation across ten independent random seeds. Under these stated assumptions, the proposed framework achieves a handover success rate of 94.2±0.8%, an average SINR of 15.8±0.2 dB, a handover delay of 45.2±1.1 ms, and a handover frequency of 0.85±0.05 HOs/min, outperforming the tuned 3GPP A3, reactive SINR, and CASH baselines in the reported simulation results (Wilcoxon signed-rank test, p<0.01, Bonferroni-corrected). The experimental setup is described in detail to support methodological transparency and facilitate future replication, but the handover results should be interpreted as simulation-based evidence rather than live-network validation.

ElectronicsVol. 15(12)
Türkisch-Deutsche Universität (TR), Forschungszentrum Telekommunikation Wien (AT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
UAV Applications and Optimization
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