Machine Learning-Based Oil Analysis for Underground Mining Equipment

Predictive maintenance in underground mining faces challenges due to severe conditions such as confined environments, high humidity, presence of silica dust, and restricted access. This study develops a predictive framework based on oil analysis and machine learning for multiple compartments of mining equipment (engine, hydraulic system, transmission, differential). Samples were processed under ASTM standards, integrating wear metal concentrations (Fe, Cu, Cr, Pb, Al), physicochemical properties (viscosity, TBN, soot), and contaminants (Si, Na). Based on tribology, interpretable ratios were constructed. Three algorithms (Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and XGBoost) were evaluated using cross-validation. XGBoost achieved the best balance (F1 = 0.852, AUC = 0.975), with a recall of 94.5% for the critical class and only 3 false negatives out of 199 test samples, while Random Forest presented the highest global discrimination power (AUC = 0.978). SHAP revealed that viscosity at 100 °C is the most important predictor (SHAP ~0.9), surpassing iron. No temporal wear trend was found (R2 = 0.000). Threshold optimization to 0.25 reduced false negatives by 67% (from 9 to 3). The framework provides interpretable predictions with uncertainty quantification for underground environments.