Beyond snapshot dosing: a dynamic living digital twin framework for model-informed precision dosing in critical illness

INTRODUCTION: Model-Informed Precision Dosing (MIPD) has improved individualized therapy, but in critical illness its reliance on intermittently updated data creates a temporal mismatch between pharmacokinetic (PK) models and rapidly evolving physiology. AREAS COVERED: Synthesizing population pharmacokinetic (popPK) and data science literature, we examine the limitations of snapshot-based dosing, using vancomycin as example. We propose the Dynamic Living Digital Twin (DLDT) framework, which integrates high-frequency electronic health record data into adaptive state-space models such as Kalman filtering. Rather than adding more covariates, the DLDT reframes patient physiology as a continuously evolving latent state that can be updated using temporally dense clinical data. Methodological, infrastructural, and regulatory Software as Medical Device (SaMD) barriers are also evaluated. A non-systematic PubMed search identified relevant publications available up to March 2026. EXPERT OPINION: The next advance in precision dosing will come from temporally adaptive PK reasoning. In this paradigm, patient physiology is treated as an evolving latent state, and clinical pharmacists may increasingly interpret exposure trajectories rather than isolated dose recommendations. Although technically feasible, implementation remains constrained by data interoperability and workflow integration challenges. Clinical pharmacists may therefore increasingly act as stewards of dynamic model outputs, using anticipated exposure trajectories to preempt PK shifts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Expert Review of Clinical Pharmacology
Published
2026-06-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/17512433.2026.2693120
Primary Topic
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Beyond snapshot dosing: a dynamic living digital twin framework for model-informed precision dosing in critical illness

Hülya Tezel Yalçın, Nadir Yalçın
Expert Review of Clinical Pharmacology
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Beyond snapshot dosing: a dynamic living digital twin framework for model-informed precision dosing in critical illness

Hülya Tezel Yalçın, Nadir Yalçın
article en

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Model-Informed Precision Dosing (MIPD) has improved individualized therapy, but in critical illness its reliance on intermittently updated data creates a temporal mismatch between pharmacokinetic (PK) models and rapidly evolving physiology. AREAS COVERED: Synthesizing population pharmacokinetic (popPK) and data science literature, we examine the limitations of snapshot-based dosing, using vancomycin as example. We propose the Dynamic Living Digital Twin (DLDT) framework, which integrates high-frequency electronic health record data into adaptive state-space models such as Kalman filtering. Rather than adding more covariates, the DLDT reframes patient physiology as a continuously evolving latent state that can be updated using temporally dense clinical data. Methodological, infrastructural, and regulatory Software as Medical Device (SaMD) barriers are also evaluated. A non-systematic PubMed search identified relevant publications available up to March 2026. EXPERT OPINION: The next advance in precision dosing will come from temporally adaptive PK reasoning. In this paradigm, patient physiology is treated as an evolving latent state, and clinical pharmacists may increasingly interpret exposure trajectories rather than isolated dose recommendations. Although technically feasible, implementation remains constrained by data interoperability and workflow integration challenges. Clinical pharmacists may therefore increasingly act as stewards of dynamic model outputs, using anticipated exposure trajectories to preempt PK shifts.

Expert Review of Clinical Pharmacology
Hacettepe University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
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