MODIS-Based Estimation of Grassland Gross Primary Productivity in Inner Mongolia Using a ConvTransformer Deep Learning Model

Understanding ecosystem carbon processes relies heavily on the reliable assessment of gross primary productivity (GPP) yet remains challenging in the Inner Mongolia grasslands due to data scarcity and high uncertainty among existing products. We developed a ConvTransformer-based framework that exploits complementary information from satellite observations and meteorological datasets to enhance the representation of complex spatiotemporal dependencies in grassland ecosystems. Grounded in leave-one-site-out cross-validation across six eddy covariance sites, the model achieved average performance metrics of R2 = 0.59, RMSE = 1.40 g C m−2 d−1, Bias = −0.31 g C m−2 d−1, and KGE = 0.46, outperforming traditional machine learning models (RF, GBRT, and SVR) as well as the light use efficiency model (EC-LUE) in both accuracy and robustness. Using this framework, we generated a daily GPP dataset at spatial granularity of 1 km for the Inner Mongolia grasslands from 2003 to 2018. The results reveal a clear spatial gradient, with GPP decreasing from southeast to northwest. Comparisons with established products, including FLUXCOM, BESS V2, and PML V2, show strong spatial consistency and reduced discrepancies, supporting the reliability of the estimates. Overall, the proposed framework provides an effective approach for characterizing regional carbon dynamics and supports long-term ecological monitoring in semi-arid regions.