Hiddenness as a Structural Law of Emergence

When does prediction become trivial? This paper gives a typed structural answer: within the CSL scope, predictive content collapses when an upstream determining state is exposed to current observation. The load-bearing variable is the visibility coupling predicate Exposure(Lift, Substrate), which asks whether some polynomial-time current observable factors through the autonomous lift's internal state by a function non-constant on the realized carrier. We state a typed CSL core over the predictive-quotient holonomy carrier on autonomous-lifted polynomial-time substrates. The law has four clauses: dissolution under exposure, preservation under non-exposure, a degenerate clause when there is no predictive witness content, and strength-independence of the coupling function. The CSL is stated at diagnosis grade. We also give a granularity-mismatch theorem at R-Diagnosis: the framework's current and predictive quotients are strictly finer than the standard classes P and NP at the history level, but this strictness can be lost under standard language-level projection.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-06-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20713577
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
preprint
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preprint

Hiddenness as a Structural Law of Emergence

Ioannis Tsiokos
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
preprint

Hiddenness as a Structural Law of Emergence

Ioannis Tsiokos
preprint en

Abstract

When does prediction become trivial? This paper gives a typed structural answer: within the CSL scope, predictive content collapses when an upstream determining state is exposed to current observation. The load-bearing variable is the visibility coupling predicate Exposure(Lift, Substrate), which asks whether some polynomial-time current observable factors through the autonomous lift's internal state by a function non-constant on the realized carrier. We state a typed CSL core over the predictive-quotient holonomy carrier on autonomous-lifted polynomial-time substrates. The law has four clauses: dissolution under exposure, preservation under non-exposure, a degenerate clause when there is no predictive witness content, and strength-independence of the coupling function. The CSL is stated at diagnosis grade. We also give a granularity-mismatch theorem at R-Diagnosis: the framework's current and predictive quotients are strictly finer than the standard classes P and NP at the history level, but this strictness can be lost under standard language-level projection.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Intelligent Automation (United States) (US)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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