Quantile Reparameterized Regression Model and Machine Learning with Long-Term Survivors

We propose a quantile-based survival model that accounts for a cure fraction. By modeling unobserved event causes with a negative binomial distribution and time-to-event with the generalized log-logistic Weibull distribution, we estimate parameters using a frequentist framework. We validated our model and applied it to prostate cancer data to prove its practical use. Comparing it to a Random Survival Forest model, we highlight how different approaches handle long-term survival, ultimately weighing the balance between flexibility, interpretability, and predictive performance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Axioms
Published
2026-06-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms15060451
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Quantile Reparameterized Regression Model and Machine Learning with Long-Term Survivors

Gauss M. Cordeiro, Gabriela M. Rodrigues, Edwin M. M. Ortega, Michael W. Kattan et al.
Axioms
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Quantile Reparameterized Regression Model and Machine Learning with Long-Term Survivors

Gauss M. Cordeiro, Gabriela M. Rodrigues, Edwin M. M. Ortega, Michael W. Kattan, Valdemiro Piedade Vigas, Vicente G. Cancho
article en

Abstract

We propose a quantile-based survival model that accounts for a cure fraction. By modeling unobserved event causes with a negative binomial distribution and time-to-event with the generalized log-logistic Weibull distribution, we estimate parameters using a frequentist framework. We validated our model and applied it to prostate cancer data to prove its practical use. Comparing it to a Random Survival Forest model, we highlight how different approaches handle long-term survival, ultimately weighing the balance between flexibility, interpretability, and predictive performance.

AxiomsVol. 15(6)
Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul (BR), Cleveland Clinic (US), Universidade de São Paulo (BR), Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (BR), Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science (MD)
Cleveland Clinic, Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo, Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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