Air pollution and rent prices: Evidence from wildfire smoke plumes in Las Vegas

Abstract We leverage quasi‐experimental wildfire smoke shocks to analyze the capitalization of transient air pollution in rent and house prices in Las Vegas from 2008 to 2019. We combine a repeat rent model with an instrumental variable approach, using (i) rental contract rates from newly signed leases, and (ii) the probability of a smoke day based on ground‐level wildfire smoke plume history as an instrument for fine particulate matter (). Similarly, we examine a repeat sales model. Our results indicate that increases in daily exposure are associated with decreases in rent and house prices, and these effects are substantially larger when accounting for measurement error. Our findings suggest that tenants value clean air as much as homeowners and make up a key demographic when monetizing the value of clean air to inform environmental policy design.

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Publication Details

Journal
Real Estate Economics
Published
2026-06-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.70061
Primary Topic
Housing Market and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Air pollution and rent prices: Evidence from wildfire smoke plumes in Las Vegas

Luis A. Lopez, Nitzan Tzur-Ilan
Real Estate Economics
Housing Market and Economics
article

Air pollution and rent prices: Evidence from wildfire smoke plumes in Las Vegas

Luis A. Lopez, Nitzan Tzur-Ilan
article en

Abstract

Abstract We leverage quasi‐experimental wildfire smoke shocks to analyze the capitalization of transient air pollution in rent and house prices in Las Vegas from 2008 to 2019. We combine a repeat rent model with an instrumental variable approach, using (i) rental contract rates from newly signed leases, and (ii) the probability of a smoke day based on ground‐level wildfire smoke plume history as an instrument for fine particulate matter (). Similarly, we examine a repeat sales model. Our results indicate that increases in daily exposure are associated with decreases in rent and house prices, and these effects are substantially larger when accounting for measurement error. Our findings suggest that tenants value clean air as much as homeowners and make up a key demographic when monetizing the value of clean air to inform environmental policy design.

Real Estate Economics
University of Illinois Chicago (US), Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Housing Market and Economics
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