Preprocessing of Time Series Data for Photovoltaic Energy Forecasting: A Case Study of Two Operational PV Plants

This work presents a robust preprocessing pipeline for photovoltaic (PV) time series forecasting aimed at improving the quality, consistency, and physical coherence of the input data used in predictive models. The proposed methodology integrates temporal lag correction, Fourier-based temporal enrichment, supervised and unsupervised outlier detection, and feature selection to adapt the preprocessing workflow to different operational conditions and data characteristics. The pipeline is validated using real-world data from two PV plants with different temporal resolutions and operating regimes. The results show that the proposed approach improves dataset coherence and strengthens the relationship between meteorological predictors and PV output, providing a reliable basis for subsequent forecasting tasks. In addition, an online forecasting validation over January 2025 shows that a Random Forest model using preprocessed inputs substantially reduces prediction errors compared with the same model using raw inputs, with MAE reductions of 54.2% for the Test Plant and 25.6% for the Production Plant, and corresponding RMSE reductions of 32.1% and 12.6%.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Sciences
Published
2026-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/app16126088
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Preprocessing of Time Series Data for Photovoltaic Energy Forecasting: A Case Study of Two Operational PV Plants

Carlos Montes, J. López‐Solano, Silvia Alonso-Pérez, Benjamín González‐Díaz et al.
Applied Sciences
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

Preprocessing of Time Series Data for Photovoltaic Energy Forecasting: A Case Study of Two Operational PV Plants

Carlos Montes, J. López‐Solano, Silvia Alonso-Pérez, Benjamín González‐Díaz, Jorge Ballesteros Ruiz-Benítez de Lugo, Richard David Martín Martín
article en

Abstract

This work presents a robust preprocessing pipeline for photovoltaic (PV) time series forecasting aimed at improving the quality, consistency, and physical coherence of the input data used in predictive models. The proposed methodology integrates temporal lag correction, Fourier-based temporal enrichment, supervised and unsupervised outlier detection, and feature selection to adapt the preprocessing workflow to different operational conditions and data characteristics. The pipeline is validated using real-world data from two PV plants with different temporal resolutions and operating regimes. The results show that the proposed approach improves dataset coherence and strengthens the relationship between meteorological predictors and PV output, providing a reliable basis for subsequent forecasting tasks. In addition, an online forecasting validation over January 2025 shows that a Random Forest model using preprocessed inputs substantially reduces prediction errors compared with the same model using raw inputs, with MAE reductions of 54.2% for the Test Plant and 25.6% for the Production Plant, and corresponding RMSE reductions of 32.1% and 12.6%.

Applied SciencesVol. 16(12)
Universidad de La Laguna (ES), Instituto Tecnológico y de Energías Renovables (ES)
Instituto Tecnológico y de Energías Renovables, European Regional Development Fund, Agencia Estatal de Investigación
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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Preprocessing of Time Series Data for Photovoltaic Energy Forecasting: A Case Study of Two Operational PV Plants — Carlos Montes, J. López‐Solano, et al. · Applied Sciences (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS