Fault‐Controlled Permeability: A Key Parameter in Geothermal Electricity Production Assessment

ABSTRACT Geothermal energy is central to the global green energy transition, but its development has long focused on regions with positive thermal anomalies. Through a semi‐quantitative global‐scale review and spatial analysis of 361 geothermal sites, we show that 56.2% of global geothermal electricity production occurs in regions with thermal conditions typical of average continental crust, challenging conventional models that prioritize heat flow as the main exploration criterion. Our results indicate that crustal permeability, especially fault‐related permeability linked to active seismicity, is a major control on geothermal viability and remains underestimated in resource assessments. In these geothermal contexts, permeable structural networks can sustain deep fluid circulation, even without recent magmatic activity. Rather than replacing thermal criteria, we propose that permeability should be considered as a complementary and, in many cases, decisive parameter in geothermal exploration. This perspective provides a refined framework for identifying underexplored regions and improving global geothermal resource assessment.

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Publication Details

Journal
Terra Nova
Published
2026-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/ter.70050
Primary Topic
Geothermal Energy Systems and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Fault‐Controlled Permeability: A Key Parameter in Geothermal Electricity Production Assessment

Vincent Roche, Gaétan Milesi
Terra Nova
Geothermal Energy Systems and Applications
article

Fault‐Controlled Permeability: A Key Parameter in Geothermal Electricity Production Assessment

Vincent Roche, Gaétan Milesi
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Geothermal energy is central to the global green energy transition, but its development has long focused on regions with positive thermal anomalies. Through a semi‐quantitative global‐scale review and spatial analysis of 361 geothermal sites, we show that 56.2% of global geothermal electricity production occurs in regions with thermal conditions typical of average continental crust, challenging conventional models that prioritize heat flow as the main exploration criterion. Our results indicate that crustal permeability, especially fault‐related permeability linked to active seismicity, is a major control on geothermal viability and remains underestimated in resource assessments. In these geothermal contexts, permeable structural networks can sustain deep fluid circulation, even without recent magmatic activity. Rather than replacing thermal criteria, we propose that permeability should be considered as a complementary and, in many cases, decisive parameter in geothermal exploration. This perspective provides a refined framework for identifying underexplored regions and improving global geothermal resource assessment.

Terra Nova
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Université Nantes Angers Le Mans (FR), Laboratoire de Planétologie et Géosciences (FR), Université de Lorraine (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Geothermal Energy Systems and Applications
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