Heatwaves enable wildfire activity in the western United States

While overall impacts of heatwaves have been extensively studied, the connection between heatwaves and wildfire activity remains relatively underexplored. We analyze links between heatwaves and both wildfire occurrence and growth across the western United States (WUS) and find that 42% of burned area during 2001-2024 occurred during and immediately following heatwaves. Heatwaves facilitate significant increases in daily burned area through meteorological and fuel flammability conditions that promote new ignitions and exacerbate ongoing fire activity, with effects persisting post-heatwave in most regions. In addition, heatwaves co-occur with increased cloud-to-ground lightning that can potentially increase ignitions. Last, we observe a 2.5-fold increase in burned area in WUS forests since 2001, with ~64% of this increase coinciding with heatwaves, but without corresponding increases in nonforests. The growing influence of heatwaves in shaping burned area in WUS forests has important implications for fire management and public health and can improve predictions of wildfire risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-06-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea1277
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
10.68

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article

Heatwaves enable wildfire activity in the western United States

John T. Abatzoglou, Precious Ebiendele, Dmitri Kalashnikov, Cong Yin et al.
1 citations
Science Advances
Fire effects on ecosystems
10.68
article

Heatwaves enable wildfire activity in the western United States

John T. Abatzoglou, Precious Ebiendele, Dmitri Kalashnikov, Cong Yin, Emily Williams, Mukesh Kumar, Madhulika Gurazada, Ashwin P. Thomas
article en
1 citations

Abstract

While overall impacts of heatwaves have been extensively studied, the connection between heatwaves and wildfire activity remains relatively underexplored. We analyze links between heatwaves and both wildfire occurrence and growth across the western United States (WUS) and find that 42% of burned area during 2001-2024 occurred during and immediately following heatwaves. Heatwaves facilitate significant increases in daily burned area through meteorological and fuel flammability conditions that promote new ignitions and exacerbate ongoing fire activity, with effects persisting post-heatwave in most regions. In addition, heatwaves co-occur with increased cloud-to-ground lightning that can potentially increase ignitions. Last, we observe a 2.5-fold increase in burned area in WUS forests since 2001, with ~64% of this increase coinciding with heatwaves, but without corresponding increases in nonforests. The growing influence of heatwaves in shaping burned area in WUS forests has important implications for fire management and public health and can improve predictions of wildfire risk.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(25)
University of California, Merced (US)
National Science Foundation, U.S. Department of Agriculture
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Fire effects on ecosystems
10.68
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