Geological and Hydrogeological Controls on Liquefaction Susceptibility in Deltaic Environments: Insights from the Po Delta, Northern Italy

Liquefaction phenomena are strongly influenced by the depositional evolution of the area, including sediment grain size, depositional age, shallow layering, and groundwater depth. This study focuses on a 560 km2 wide sector of the eastern Po River Plain (northern Italy), encompassing part of the modern Po Delta, to evaluate the susceptibility of the different geological units to liquefaction. A comprehensive dataset was compiled, integrating lithological, chronological (14C), geomorphological, hydrological, and hydrogeological information, together with satellite imagery, historical and modern maps, archaeological evidence, and subsurface data from core drilling and CPTu tests. The integrated analysis allowed us to reconstruct a liquefaction susceptibility map recognizing four classes: very high (4% of the investigated area), high (26%), moderate (20%), and non-susceptible (50%). CPTu-based statistical analyses confirm that the Liquefaction Potential Index (LPI) increases with higher susceptibility classes and decreases with increasing groundwater depth (0.5, 1.5, and 3.0 m scenarios). These results provide a scientific basis to support sustainable land management and governance strategies in the Po Delta, an area of high environmental, cultural, and economic value, a large sector of which is included in the Natura 2000 network.