A universal gating framework for multi-expert fusion in heterogeneous multimodal time series forecasting

Forecasting future trends in complex systems requires the integration of diverse data sources beyond traditional numerical time series. However, effectively fusing fundamentally heterogeneous data, where external signals, such as textual reports, are independently sourced rather than derived from the series itself, remains a significant challenge. Current multi-modal frameworks often rely on tightly coupled architectures that require complex joint optimization of internal representations, or utilize static fusion mechanisms that fail to adapt to shifting data relevance. We propose GMM-TS, a modular gating architecture inspired by Mixture-of-Experts, designed for universal heterogeneous integration. Unlike monolithic models, GMM-TS operates directly in the target prediction space, enabling the seamless integration of disparate model families, such as Large Language Models and specialized numerical forecasters, without internal architectural modification. Furthermore, GMM-TS replaces traditional fixed-weight interpolation with a Transformer-based gating mechanism that computes dynamic, per-time-step expert weights. This enables the framework to adaptively prioritize specific modalities as temporal context evolves, providing both superior predictive accuracy and inherent interpretability by revealing the relative importance of each data source across different time horizons and events. Extensive evaluations show that GMM-TS consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across nine domains, multiple forecast horizons, and various expert configurations. We also include, for the first time, to the best of our knowledge, the option to integrate more than two experts. Our framework is efficient, extensible, and interpretable, offering a modality-agnostic solution for real-world forecasting in multi-source data environments. Code is available at https://github.com/NVIDIA/gmmts_lib.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-54540-x
Primary Topic
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

A universal gating framework for multi-expert fusion in heterogeneous multimodal time series forecasting

Yoli Shavit, Kathy Razmadze
Scientific Reports
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
article

A universal gating framework for multi-expert fusion in heterogeneous multimodal time series forecasting

Yoli Shavit, Kathy Razmadze
article en

Abstract

Forecasting future trends in complex systems requires the integration of diverse data sources beyond traditional numerical time series. However, effectively fusing fundamentally heterogeneous data, where external signals, such as textual reports, are independently sourced rather than derived from the series itself, remains a significant challenge. Current multi-modal frameworks often rely on tightly coupled architectures that require complex joint optimization of internal representations, or utilize static fusion mechanisms that fail to adapt to shifting data relevance. We propose GMM-TS, a modular gating architecture inspired by Mixture-of-Experts, designed for universal heterogeneous integration. Unlike monolithic models, GMM-TS operates directly in the target prediction space, enabling the seamless integration of disparate model families, such as Large Language Models and specialized numerical forecasters, without internal architectural modification. Furthermore, GMM-TS replaces traditional fixed-weight interpolation with a Transformer-based gating mechanism that computes dynamic, per-time-step expert weights. This enables the framework to adaptively prioritize specific modalities as temporal context evolves, providing both superior predictive accuracy and inherent interpretability by revealing the relative importance of each data source across different time horizons and events. Extensive evaluations show that GMM-TS consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines across nine domains, multiple forecast horizons, and various expert configurations. We also include, for the first time, to the best of our knowledge, the option to integrate more than two experts. Our framework is efficient, extensible, and interpretable, offering a modality-agnostic solution for real-world forecasting in multi-source data environments. Code is available at https://github.com/NVIDIA/gmmts_lib.

Scientific Reports
Nvidia (United Kingdom) (GB), Nvidia (United States) (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.