Toward Expert Investment Teams: A Multi-Agent LLM System with Fine-Grained Trading Tasks

The advancement of large language models (LLMs) has accelerated the development of autonomous financial trading systems. While mainstream approaches deploy multi-agent systems with hierarchical decision architectures, they often rely on coarse-grained instructions that underspecify the analytical procedures, leading to degraded inference quality and reduced transparency. We propose a structured decision architecture that explicitly decomposes investment analysis into fine-grained, domain-informed tasks assigned to specialized inference modules, rather than providing abstract role-level instructions. We evaluate the proposed framework using Japanese stock data, including prices, financial statements, news, and macro information, under a leakage-controlled backtesting setting. Experimental results, validated through bootstrap confidence intervals, multiple-testing corrections, and subperiod stability analysis, demonstrate that fine-grained task decomposition significantly improves risk-adjusted returns compared to conventional coarse-grained designs. Crucially, further analysis of intermediate agent outputs suggests that semantic alignment between analytical outputs and downstream decision layers is a critical driver of system performance, consistent with a structured regularization interpretation. Moreover, we conduct standard portfolio optimization, exploiting low correlation with the stock index and the variance of each system’s output, achieving superior risk-adjusted performance. These findings contribute to the design of structured inference architectures and task decomposition strategies for LLM-based financial decision systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Financial Data Science
Published
2026-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3905/jfds.2026.008
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Toward Expert Investment Teams: A Multi-Agent LLM System with Fine-Grained Trading Tasks

Takanobu Kawahara, Stefan Zohren, Kunihiro Miyazaki, Stephen Roberts
The Journal of Financial Data Science
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Toward Expert Investment Teams: A Multi-Agent LLM System with Fine-Grained Trading Tasks

Takanobu Kawahara, Stefan Zohren, Kunihiro Miyazaki, Stephen Roberts
article en

Abstract

The advancement of large language models (LLMs) has accelerated the development of autonomous financial trading systems. While mainstream approaches deploy multi-agent systems with hierarchical decision architectures, they often rely on coarse-grained instructions that underspecify the analytical procedures, leading to degraded inference quality and reduced transparency. We propose a structured decision architecture that explicitly decomposes investment analysis into fine-grained, domain-informed tasks assigned to specialized inference modules, rather than providing abstract role-level instructions. We evaluate the proposed framework using Japanese stock data, including prices, financial statements, news, and macro information, under a leakage-controlled backtesting setting. Experimental results, validated through bootstrap confidence intervals, multiple-testing corrections, and subperiod stability analysis, demonstrate that fine-grained task decomposition significantly improves risk-adjusted returns compared to conventional coarse-grained designs. Crucially, further analysis of intermediate agent outputs suggests that semantic alignment between analytical outputs and downstream decision layers is a critical driver of system performance, consistent with a structured regularization interpretation. Moreover, we conduct standard portfolio optimization, exploiting low correlation with the stock index and the variance of each system’s output, achieving superior risk-adjusted performance. These findings contribute to the design of structured inference architectures and task decomposition strategies for LLM-based financial decision systems.

The Journal of Financial Data Science
Atomi University (JP), Digital Hollywood University (JP), University of Oxford (GB), Science Oxford (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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