CDN-214: The External Check Register

CDN-214 recovers the external GO-6456 forecast check that CDN-213 could only register as missing. STScI lists GO-6456 as completed, and the arXiv:2512.07695 source table exposes five July 2024 transit-center values for TRAPPIST-1 b, d, and e. Matching those five T0 values to the Agol et al. 2024 forecast CSV gives five of five within one combined sigma: max residual 129.895 s, RMS residual 70.118 s, max |z| 0.949, RMS z 0.705. This pays external forecast validation, but not TTY promotion: b/d/e coverage completes zero predeclared three-planet modes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-06-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20679341
Primary Topic
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

CDN-214: The External Check Register

Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
article

CDN-214: The External Check Register

Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier
article en

Abstract

CDN-214 recovers the external GO-6456 forecast check that CDN-213 could only register as missing. STScI lists GO-6456 as completed, and the arXiv:2512.07695 source table exposes five July 2024 transit-center values for TRAPPIST-1 b, d, and e. Matching those five T0 values to the Agol et al. 2024 forecast CSV gives five of five within one combined sigma: max residual 129.895 s, RMS residual 70.118 s, max |z| 0.949, RMS z 0.705. This pays external forecast validation, but not TTY promotion: b/d/e coverage completes zero predeclared three-planet modes.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Dynamique du noyau (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
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