CDN-212: The Null Moves

CDN-212 attaches the Agol et al. 2024 arXiv source forecast CSV to the same 23 JWST transit times used by CDN-211. All 23 times match published forecast rows, moving the timing null from a linear ephemeris scout to the published NbodyGradient forecast. The largest observed-minus-forecast residual is 50.530 seconds, RMS is 11.466 seconds, and max normalized residual is 1.302. This is a published-null attachment, not a TTY candidate: the forecast solution includes the JWST times, only one inherited Laplace mode remains projectable, and no independent holdout residual table is attached.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-06-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20679129
Primary Topic
Advanced Frequency and Time Standards
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

CDN-212: The Null Moves

Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Advanced Frequency and Time Standards
article

CDN-212: The Null Moves

Nicky Joseph Hubertus Catharina Hacquier
article en

Abstract

CDN-212 attaches the Agol et al. 2024 arXiv source forecast CSV to the same 23 JWST transit times used by CDN-211. All 23 times match published forecast rows, moving the timing null from a linear ephemeris scout to the published NbodyGradient forecast. The largest observed-minus-forecast residual is 50.530 seconds, RMS is 11.466 seconds, and max normalized residual is 1.302. This is a published-null attachment, not a TTY candidate: the forecast solution includes the JWST times, only one inherited Laplace mode remains projectable, and no independent holdout residual table is attached.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Dynamique du noyau (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Advanced Frequency and Time Standards
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