Burden of disease in anxiety disorders: trends, projections and relationship to human resources for health

BACKGROUND: Anxiety disorders are among the most prevalent mental disorders worldwide and impose a substantial burden on public health systems. This study aimed to comprehensively assess the global burden of anxiety disorders, examine long-term temporal trends, explore their associations with human resources for health (HRH), and project future disease burden. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study. We first described the global burden of anxiety disorders in 2021 and its geographical distribution across countries and regions. We then analyzed temporal trends in incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021. In addition, correlations between anxiety disorder burden and HRH were assessed. Finally, future trends from 2022 to 2050 were projected using multiple statistical models. RESULTS: In 2021, anxiety disorders accounted for 53.91 million incident cases worldwide, with an age-standardized incidence rate of 678.25 per 100,000 population. The global number of prevalent cases reached 359.21 million, and the total number of DALYs was 42.51 million. China had the highest absolute number of cases, whereas Portugal had the highest age-standardized prevalence rate. Correlation analyses showed moderate associations between several HRH categories and the burden of anxiety disorders; traditional and complementary medicine practitioners were weakly negatively correlated with DALYs. Model-based projections suggest that the global burden of anxiety disorders may continue to increase over the next 25 years. CONCLUSION: Anxiety disorders remain a major global public health challenge. These findings provide updated evidence on their epidemiological burden and may help inform health resource allocation and long-term mental health planning.