Detecting Strategic Drift Before Outcome Failure: A Longitudinal Governance Diagnostic

This paper introduces a longitudinal diagnostic framework for detecting strategic drift in institutional systems before it manifests in observable outcomes. It focuses on the temporal gap between decision-making processes and measurable results, arguing that drift occurs within this interval. By tracking the transformation of intent into decision criteria over time, the paper proposes a method for identifying early signals of misalignment. It contributes a diagnostic tool for governance systems seeking to maintain coherence under conditions of complexity and change. This paper is part of the Coherence Programme. Further materials and companion papers are available at: https://thecoherenceprogramme.org/

Publication Details

Journal
Knowledge Commons (Lakehead University)
Published
2026-06-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.17613/ce4fr-qd131
Primary Topic
Public Policy and Administration Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Detecting Strategic Drift Before Outcome Failure: A Longitudinal Governance Diagnostic

Knowledge Commons (Lakehead University)
Public Policy and Administration Research
article

Detecting Strategic Drift Before Outcome Failure: A Longitudinal Governance Diagnostic

article en

Abstract

This paper introduces a longitudinal diagnostic framework for detecting strategic drift in institutional systems before it manifests in observable outcomes. It focuses on the temporal gap between decision-making processes and measurable results, arguing that drift occurs within this interval. By tracking the transformation of intent into decision criteria over time, the paper proposes a method for identifying early signals of misalignment. It contributes a diagnostic tool for governance systems seeking to maintain coherence under conditions of complexity and change. This paper is part of the Coherence Programme. Further materials and companion papers are available at: https://thecoherenceprogramme.org/

Knowledge Commons (Lakehead University)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Public Policy and Administration Research
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Detecting Strategic Drift Before Outcome Failure: A Longitudinal Governance Diagnostic · Knowledge Commons (Lakehead University) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS