Prognostic Value of the Osaka Prognostic Score for One-Year Mortality in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

Background/Objectives: The Osaka Prognostic Score (OPS) has demonstrated prognostic value in various cardiovascular settings. However, its role in predicting long-term outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) remains insufficiently explored. This study aimed to investigate the association between baseline OPS and one-year all-cause mortality in patients presenting with STEMI. Methods: OPS was calculated in 463 consecutive patients with STEMI at hospital admission. The primary endpoint was one-year all-cause mortality. Clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic, and angiographic variables were analyzed for each patient. Results: During one-year follow-up, patients who died exhibited significantly higher OPS values compared with survivors (1.70 ± 0.89 vs. 0.38 ± 0.65; p < 0.001). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, lower hemoglobin levels (OR 0.780, 95% CI 0.630–0.967; p < 0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 0.948, 95% CI 0.902–0.997; p = 0.037) were associated with an increased risk of mortality whereas both the GRACE risk score (OR 2.653, 95% CI 1.345–3.987; p < 0.001) and OPS (OR 1.536, 95% CI 1.102–2.234; p = 0.001) were positively associated with mortality. The combined GRACE + OPS logistic regression model demonstrated significantly better discriminative performance for predicting 1-year mortality compared with the GRACE-only model (AUC: 0.836 vs. 0.761). DeLong analysis confirmed that the addition of OPS significantly improved predictive accuracy (ΔAUC = 0.075, 95% CI: 0.015–0.136; p = 0.014). Conclusions: Baseline OPS is independently associated with one-year all-cause mortality in patients with STEMI and may have potential utility in this group of patients.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Published
2026-06-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15124561
Primary Topic
Acute Myocardial Infarction Research
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article
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article

Prognostic Value of the Osaka Prognostic Score for One-Year Mortality in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

Burak Ayça, Fahrettin Katkat, Uğur Taşkın, Yasin Yüksel et al.
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Acute Myocardial Infarction Research
article

Prognostic Value of the Osaka Prognostic Score for One-Year Mortality in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

Burak Ayça, Fahrettin Katkat, Uğur Taşkın, Yasin Yüksel, Çağatay Önal, Cennet Yıldız
article en

Abstract

Background/Objectives: The Osaka Prognostic Score (OPS) has demonstrated prognostic value in various cardiovascular settings. However, its role in predicting long-term outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) remains insufficiently explored. This study aimed to investigate the association between baseline OPS and one-year all-cause mortality in patients presenting with STEMI. Methods: OPS was calculated in 463 consecutive patients with STEMI at hospital admission. The primary endpoint was one-year all-cause mortality. Clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic, and angiographic variables were analyzed for each patient. Results: During one-year follow-up, patients who died exhibited significantly higher OPS values compared with survivors (1.70 ± 0.89 vs. 0.38 ± 0.65; p < 0.001). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, lower hemoglobin levels (OR 0.780, 95% CI 0.630–0.967; p < 0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 0.948, 95% CI 0.902–0.997; p = 0.037) were associated with an increased risk of mortality whereas both the GRACE risk score (OR 2.653, 95% CI 1.345–3.987; p < 0.001) and OPS (OR 1.536, 95% CI 1.102–2.234; p = 0.001) were positively associated with mortality. The combined GRACE + OPS logistic regression model demonstrated significantly better discriminative performance for predicting 1-year mortality compared with the GRACE-only model (AUC: 0.836 vs. 0.761). DeLong analysis confirmed that the addition of OPS significantly improved predictive accuracy (ΔAUC = 0.075, 95% CI: 0.015–0.136; p = 0.014). Conclusions: Baseline OPS is independently associated with one-year all-cause mortality in patients with STEMI and may have potential utility in this group of patients.

Journal of Clinical MedicineVol. 15(12)
Izmir University (TR), Gaziantep Children's Hospital (TR), Istanbul University-Cerrahpaşa (TR), Bakırköy Dr.Sadi Konuk Eğitim ve Araştırma Hastanesi (TR), Istanbul Eye Hospital (TR), Istanbul University (TR)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Acute Myocardial Infarction Research
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