War, Oil, and the Demand for Electric Cars

We study whether the sharp rise in petrol prices following the bombing of Iran on 28 February 2026 affected the short-run demand for battery electric vehicles in EU-27 countries. Using monthly vehicle-registration data and fixed-effects panel regressions, we show that the petrol-price shock increased battery electric-vehicle adoption, in particular in countries with better charging infrastructure and lower charging costs. Our findings suggest that higher fossil-fuel prices can accelerate the transition towards electric mobility.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg
Published
2026-06-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24352/ub.ovgu-2026-063
Primary Topic
Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
Type
preprint
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preprint

War, Oil, and the Demand for Electric Cars

Omar Martin Fieles‐Ahmad, Michael Kvasnicka, Victor Libet
Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg
Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
preprint

War, Oil, and the Demand for Electric Cars

Omar Martin Fieles‐Ahmad, Michael Kvasnicka, Victor Libet
preprint en

Abstract

We study whether the sharp rise in petrol prices following the bombing of Iran on 28 February 2026 affected the short-run demand for battery electric vehicles in EU-27 countries. Using monthly vehicle-registration data and fixed-effects panel regressions, we show that the petrol-price shock increased battery electric-vehicle adoption, in particular in countries with better charging infrastructure and lower charging costs. Our findings suggest that higher fossil-fuel prices can accelerate the transition towards electric mobility.

Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
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War, Oil, and the Demand for Electric Cars — Omar Martin Fieles‐Ahmad, Michael Kvasnicka, et al. · Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS