Broken Symmetry, “Conservation Law”, and Scaling in Accumulated Stock Returns: A Modified Jones–Faddy Skew t-Distribution Perspective

We analyze historic S&P500 multi-day returns: from daily returns to those accumulated over up to ten days. Despite symmetry breaking between gains and losses in the distribution of returns, resulting in its positive mean and negative skew, realized variance (volatility squared) exhibits remarkably good linear dependence on the number of days of accumulation. Mean of the distribution also shows near perfect linear dependence as well. We analyze this phenomenon both analytically and numerically using a modified Jones–Faddy skew t-distribution.

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Publication Details

Journal
Foundations
Published
2026-06-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/foundations6020023
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Broken Symmetry, “Conservation Law”, and Scaling in Accumulated Stock Returns: A Modified Jones–Faddy Skew t-Distribution Perspective

Siqi Shao, R. A. Serota, Arshia Ghasemi
Foundations
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
article

Broken Symmetry, “Conservation Law”, and Scaling in Accumulated Stock Returns: A Modified Jones–Faddy Skew t-Distribution Perspective

Siqi Shao, R. A. Serota, Arshia Ghasemi
article en

Abstract

We analyze historic S&P500 multi-day returns: from daily returns to those accumulated over up to ten days. Despite symmetry breaking between gains and losses in the distribution of returns, resulting in its positive mean and negative skew, realized variance (volatility squared) exhibits remarkably good linear dependence on the number of days of accumulation. Mean of the distribution also shows near perfect linear dependence as well. We analyze this phenomenon both analytically and numerically using a modified Jones–Faddy skew t-distribution.

FoundationsVol. 6(2)
University of Cincinnati (US)
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
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