Exploring key determinants of rural–urban youth migration in South Ethiopia: Evidence for policy and planning

Migration decisions are complex and influenced by multiple economic, social, cultural, and psychological factors beyond livelihoods. This study examined key factors determining youth migration. A systematic random sampling technique was employed to select 384 sampled households. Descriptive statistics and binary logit model were employed to analyze the data. The study revealed that 57.55% of households had youth migrants to urban areas mainly due to livelihood challenges. Key determinants positively associated with rural-urban youth migration, as marginal effect values indicate, were age (+1.7%), family size (+4.1%), family/peer pressure (+68.3%), credit (+7.9%), and urban amenities (+69%), while non-farm income (−16.9%), household occupation (−49.2%), and land size (−0.5%) negatively affected youth migration. Age, lack of access to credit, family size, urban amenities, and non-farm income were significantly associated with youth migration. Policies should prioritize improving rural financial services, promoting income diversification by supporting family welfare programs to reduce distress-driven migration decisions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Local Development & Society
Published
2026-06-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/26883597.2026.2679439
Primary Topic
Migration and Labor Dynamics
Type
article
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article

Exploring key determinants of rural–urban youth migration in South Ethiopia: Evidence for policy and planning

Berhanu Kuma Shano, Yishak Gecho Betalo, Eshetu Matewos Kuke
Local Development & Society
Migration and Labor Dynamics
article

Exploring key determinants of rural–urban youth migration in South Ethiopia: Evidence for policy and planning

Berhanu Kuma Shano, Yishak Gecho Betalo, Eshetu Matewos Kuke
article en

Abstract

Migration decisions are complex and influenced by multiple economic, social, cultural, and psychological factors beyond livelihoods. This study examined key factors determining youth migration. A systematic random sampling technique was employed to select 384 sampled households. Descriptive statistics and binary logit model were employed to analyze the data. The study revealed that 57.55% of households had youth migrants to urban areas mainly due to livelihood challenges. Key determinants positively associated with rural-urban youth migration, as marginal effect values indicate, were age (+1.7%), family size (+4.1%), family/peer pressure (+68.3%), credit (+7.9%), and urban amenities (+69%), while non-farm income (−16.9%), household occupation (−49.2%), and land size (−0.5%) negatively affected youth migration. Age, lack of access to credit, family size, urban amenities, and non-farm income were significantly associated with youth migration. Policies should prioritize improving rural financial services, promoting income diversification by supporting family welfare programs to reduce distress-driven migration decisions.

Local Development & Society
Wolaita Sodo University (ET)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Migration and Labor Dynamics
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Exploring key determinants of rural–urban youth migration in South Ethiopia: Evidence for policy and planning — Berhanu Kuma Shano, Yishak Gecho Betalo, et al. · Local Development & Society (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS