A Quantum-Inspired Holographic Model for Decoding and Predicting Corporate Performance

A fundamental challenge in quantitative finance and organizational sciences is to quantify the time-lagged relationship between a company's internal organizational dynamics and its tangible outputs. This study introduces an analytical framework that models this relationship using a quantum-inspired holographic concept. Applying a multi-stage statistical pipeline to 10 years of public data from six firms, we tested time-series models representing innovation and collaboration. The analysis revealed this new framework functions as an effective analytical filter for out-of-sample data. The results indicate that per-company calibrated models—which synchronize objective output data with calibrated, conceptually paired proxy metrics (like R&D spend for innovation)—achieved statistically significant predictive power (p = 0.021) against financial productivity data, whereas traditional, single-variable models did not. The findings demonstrate this Holographic Evaluation System for Topologic Interrelational Analysis (HESTIA) framework is a robust method for developing and validating firm-specific models for profits and valuation. The process is analogous to an imaging technique, transforming noisy proxy signals from a latent signal domain into an interpretable map of a firm's unique operational rhythm. The resulting models visualize a firm's value-creation cycle with a statistically high likelihood of predicting future “productivity,” which in this study is defined as profit and share price.

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Publication Details

Journal
Algorithmic Finance
Published
2026-06-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/21576203261457354
Primary Topic
Topological and Geometric Data Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A Quantum-Inspired Holographic Model for Decoding and Predicting Corporate Performance

Laurence Minsky, Joseph Orgel
Algorithmic Finance
Topological and Geometric Data Analysis
article

A Quantum-Inspired Holographic Model for Decoding and Predicting Corporate Performance

Laurence Minsky, Joseph Orgel
article en

Abstract

A fundamental challenge in quantitative finance and organizational sciences is to quantify the time-lagged relationship between a company's internal organizational dynamics and its tangible outputs. This study introduces an analytical framework that models this relationship using a quantum-inspired holographic concept. Applying a multi-stage statistical pipeline to 10 years of public data from six firms, we tested time-series models representing innovation and collaboration. The analysis revealed this new framework functions as an effective analytical filter for out-of-sample data. The results indicate that per-company calibrated models—which synchronize objective output data with calibrated, conceptually paired proxy metrics (like R&D spend for innovation)—achieved statistically significant predictive power (p = 0.021) against financial productivity data, whereas traditional, single-variable models did not. The findings demonstrate this Holographic Evaluation System for Topologic Interrelational Analysis (HESTIA) framework is a robust method for developing and validating firm-specific models for profits and valuation. The process is analogous to an imaging technique, transforming noisy proxy signals from a latent signal domain into an interpretable map of a firm's unique operational rhythm. The resulting models visualize a firm's value-creation cycle with a statistically high likelihood of predicting future “productivity,” which in this study is defined as profit and share price.

Algorithmic Finance
Illinois Institute of Technology (US), Columbia College Chicago (US)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Topological and Geometric Data Analysis
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A Quantum-Inspired Holographic Model for Decoding and Predicting Corporate Performance — Laurence Minsky, Joseph Orgel · Algorithmic Finance (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS