The trilemma for low interest rate macroeconomics

Abstract Three desirable goals of macroeconomic policy are: full employment, low inflation, and a low debt level with no Ponzi scheme. This paper shows that, when the natural real interest rate is persistently depressed, at most two of these three goals can be simultaneously achieved. Depending on the parameters of the economy, each of these three possibilities can be the preferred option, resulting in a non-trivial policy trilemma.

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Publication Details

Journal
Japanese Economic Review
Published
2026-06-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42973-026-00256-6
Primary Topic
Economic theories and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The trilemma for low interest rate macroeconomics

Jean‐Baptiste Michau
Japanese Economic Review
Economic theories and models
article

The trilemma for low interest rate macroeconomics

Jean‐Baptiste Michau
article en

Abstract

Abstract Three desirable goals of macroeconomic policy are: full employment, low inflation, and a low debt level with no Ponzi scheme. This paper shows that, when the natural real interest rate is persistently depressed, at most two of these three goals can be simultaneously achieved. Depending on the parameters of the economy, each of these three possibilities can be the preferred option, resulting in a non-trivial policy trilemma.

Japanese Economic Review
École Polytechnique (FR)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Economic theories and models
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The trilemma for low interest rate macroeconomics — Jean‐Baptiste Michau · Japanese Economic Review (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS