Sustainable Pathways to Trustworthy AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: A Comparative Analysis of Explainable AI (XAI), Human‑in‑the‑Loop Systems, Hybrid AI, and Uncertainty Quantification Techniques

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) is growing in pharmaceutical manufacturing, but regulatory assimilation has been slow due to difficulties in interpretability, uncertainty calibration and sustainability assessment. This work offers a quantitative framework for assessing the deployment of trustworthy AI by combining multi-objective composite trust index (CTI). The framework combines model predictive performance (R², RMSE), uncertainty measures (predictive variance and Expected Calibration Error), interpretability stability as well as sustainability metrics like Process Mass Intensity (PMI). With 120 industrial reaction batches, four AI paradigms (explainable AI (XAI), human-in-the-loop HITL, hybrid physics-informed AI, and uncertainty quantification UQ) were compared. The robust prediction performance of hybrid models was superior, with the highest R² and lowest RMSE among the methods considered. For example, we did see it helped with calibration when we used UQ to ensure that ECE was minimized. The human-in-the-loop technique also helped with greater consistency, thus enhancing robustness. Dimensions were normalized to generate a Composite Trust Index (CTI). This allowed us to be able to visualize that trade-off between the accuracy of long-term predictions versus how sustainable it could be. It is notable that the performance of PMI agents has a direct relationship with a large CTI: hence trust can be linked to the algorithm and greener process conditions. From the results, we know that Hybrid-UQ is the most reliable and sustainable among them with statistical significance.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Published
2026-05-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s44196-026-01408-7
Primary Topic
Machine Learning in Materials Science
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Sustainable Pathways to Trustworthy AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: A Comparative Analysis of Explainable AI (XAI), Human‑in‑the‑Loop Systems, Hybrid AI, and Uncertainty Quantification Techniques

Siamak Pedrammehr, Nima Alizadeh Raef, Fatemeh Hamedi
International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Machine Learning in Materials Science
article

Sustainable Pathways to Trustworthy AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: A Comparative Analysis of Explainable AI (XAI), Human‑in‑the‑Loop Systems, Hybrid AI, and Uncertainty Quantification Techniques

Siamak Pedrammehr, Nima Alizadeh Raef, Fatemeh Hamedi
article en

Abstract

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) is growing in pharmaceutical manufacturing, but regulatory assimilation has been slow due to difficulties in interpretability, uncertainty calibration and sustainability assessment. This work offers a quantitative framework for assessing the deployment of trustworthy AI by combining multi-objective composite trust index (CTI). The framework combines model predictive performance (R², RMSE), uncertainty measures (predictive variance and Expected Calibration Error), interpretability stability as well as sustainability metrics like Process Mass Intensity (PMI). With 120 industrial reaction batches, four AI paradigms (explainable AI (XAI), human-in-the-loop HITL, hybrid physics-informed AI, and uncertainty quantification UQ) were compared. The robust prediction performance of hybrid models was superior, with the highest R² and lowest RMSE among the methods considered. For example, we did see it helped with calibration when we used UQ to ensure that ECE was minimized. The human-in-the-loop technique also helped with greater consistency, thus enhancing robustness. Dimensions were normalized to generate a Composite Trust Index (CTI). This allowed us to be able to visualize that trade-off between the accuracy of long-term predictions versus how sustainable it could be. It is notable that the performance of PMI agents has a direct relationship with a large CTI: hence trust can be linked to the algorithm and greener process conditions. From the results, we know that Hybrid-UQ is the most reliable and sustainable among them with statistical significance.

International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
Islamic Azad University Central Tehran Branch (IR), Tabriz Islamic Arts University (IR)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Machine Learning in Materials Science
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