Possible Mechanism for the Record‐Breaking Cold Event Over Northeastern China in December 2023: Role of Extreme Negative North Atlantic Oscillation

ABSTRACT In early winter of 2023 (December 9th–23rd), a record‐breaking cold event hits northeastern China (NEC), resulting in serious economic losses and significant disruptions to daily life. Our analysis suggests that this cold event is attributed to the preceding extreme negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The NAO‐related Barents–Kara Seas high (BKH) leads to the southward invasion of polar cold air into Siberia. The accumulation of cold air favors the enhancement of the Siberian high. In addition, at the upper level, the BKH induces upper‐level convergence and downward motion over Siberia. The accumulated cold air and downward motion jointly favor the development and maintenance of the historically strongest Siberian high in December 2023. Accordingly, the strong northerly winds associated with the strongest Siberian high transport cold air southward to NEC, resulting in the record‐breaking cold event over the region in December 2023.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmospheric Science Letters
Published
2026-05-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/asl2.70039
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
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article

Possible Mechanism for the Record‐Breaking Cold Event Over Northeastern China in December 2023: Role of Extreme Negative North Atlantic Oscillation

J F Sun, Yi Yuan, Shui Yu, Yixi Liu et al.
Atmospheric Science Letters
Climate variability and models
article

Possible Mechanism for the Record‐Breaking Cold Event Over Northeastern China in December 2023: Role of Extreme Negative North Atlantic Oscillation

J F Sun, Yi Yuan, Shui Yu, Yixi Liu, Zixuan Zeng
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT In early winter of 2023 (December 9th–23rd), a record‐breaking cold event hits northeastern China (NEC), resulting in serious economic losses and significant disruptions to daily life. Our analysis suggests that this cold event is attributed to the preceding extreme negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The NAO‐related Barents–Kara Seas high (BKH) leads to the southward invasion of polar cold air into Siberia. The accumulation of cold air favors the enhancement of the Siberian high. In addition, at the upper level, the BKH induces upper‐level convergence and downward motion over Siberia. The accumulated cold air and downward motion jointly favor the development and maintenance of the historically strongest Siberian high in December 2023. Accordingly, the strong northerly winds associated with the strongest Siberian high transport cold air southward to NEC, resulting in the record‐breaking cold event over the region in December 2023.

Atmospheric Science LettersVol. 27(6)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Climate variability and models
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