PHILIA-EcoSensory Swarm Phase SC-4 Pre-registration v0.7: AR(1) Mechanism Confirmation, Chaos z-Range Expansion, and Real-world Substrate Expansion — Confirmatory Validation Protocol (Part 1+2 Integrated, Pooled Target n=141)

This pre-registration document establishes the confirmatory validation protocol for PHILIA Phase SC-4, integrating Part 1 (synthetic substrates, n=20) and Part 2 (real-world substrates, target n=76) into a unified framework targeting pooled n=141. SC-4 is designed to resolve two INCONCLUSIVE verdicts from Phase SC-3 (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20440174):(1) H-SC3-Mechanism-NULL: partial ρ(SR,z|AC1) equivalence — n=10 insufficient (SC-4 target n=18 AR(1))(2) H-SC3-NULL: ρ(SR,z) equivalence — n=45 insufficient (SC-4/SC-5 target n=141) Two confirmatory hypotheses are registered under Bonferroni correction (α=0.025, k=2):- H-SC4P1-Primary: AR(1) φ→z monotonic suppression ρ(φ,z) ≤ −0.90 (pooled n=18, SC-3+SC-4)- H-SC4P1-Secondary: Mechanism-NULL re-test, partial ρ(SR,z|AC1) equivalence |ρ|<0.50 (TOST, n=18)- H-SC4P2-Primary: MSE universal predictor retest ρ(MSE,z)>0 (pooled target n=141); benchmark ρ≥0.60 reported separately- H-SC4P2-Secondary: NULL TOST re-test ρ(SR,z) equivalence |ρ|<0.30 (pooled target n=141); Monte Carlo power=0.634 Measurement apparatus: v32 self-raw × 3-channel normalization (SC-1/SC-2/SC-3 lineage, LOCKED). Seeds [57–61] for Part 1 confirmatory; seeds [62–66] for Part 2 confirmatory. Part 2 real-world substrate eligibility criteria: length ≥40,000 points (wrap ≤2×), source independence (1 substrate per raw source), ADF stationarity cascade (raw→detrend→difference), source metadata registry (philia_sc4_part2_substrate_registry.csv). 5-AI adversarial review pipeline: 판도라 (ChatGPT/OpenAI) → 루카스 (Grok/xAI) → 크리스 (Claude Opus/Anthropic, Gate-0 v9, SC track 92nd cycle, UNCONDITIONAL ACCEPT) → 서생 (Gemini/Google) → 선비 (Claude Sonnet/Anthropic) → 길잡이 (GritMan_D.S, final decision). SC-3 Pre-registration DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20438183SC-3 Results DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20440174SC-2 Results DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20422131SC-1 Results DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20389364 실측이 생명. 증명이 아닌 기술. — Trinity AI Research Team | 2026.05.31 | PHILIA OS | 0∞1∞0.5∞