Age-stratified associations of glycemia, blood pressure, and cholesterol with mortality in diabetes: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND: Optimization of HbA1c, blood pressure and cholesterol, referred to as the "ABCs", is central to the management of diabetes. However, the age-specific associations of these factors with mortality in patients with diabetes remains unclear. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, 43,732 Chinese adults aged ≥ 40 years with diabetes were included from the China Cardiometabolic Disease and Cancer Cohort (4C) Study. Participants were stratified by age (< 55, 55-<65, 65-<75, ≥ 75 years). Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray competing risk models were employed to estimate the associations of HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality across age groups. Relative importance and population attributable fractions (PAFs) were computed for each metabolic factor. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, 3,975 deaths were documented. Age significantly modified the associations of HbA1c, SBP, and LDL-C with all mortality outcomes (all P for interaction < 0.05). Among participants aged < 75 years, HbA1c showed graded positive associations with all-cause, cardiovascular, and non-cardiovascular mortality. The SBP thresholds associated with increased mortality risk were 140 mmHg in those aged < 65 years and 160 mmHg in those aged 65-<75 years. Among those aged ≥ 75 years, however, the patterns of these associations differed markedly. Elevated mortality risk was observed only at HbA1c ≥ 9%, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.51 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.91) for all-cause mortality and a subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of 1.70 (95% CI: 1.23-2.36) for cardiovascular mortality, while SBP showed no significant association with any mortality outcome in this age group. Moreover, LDL-C emerged as a significant risk factor for cardiovascular mortality. Compared with participants with LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/L, those with LDL-C of 1.8-<2.6 mmol/L exhibited a significantly higher risk (SHR: 1.86; 95% CI: 1.11-3.11). Additionally, LDL-C had the largest PAF for cardiovascular mortality (9.6%) within this age group. CONCLUSIONS: The impacts of ABC factors on mortality risk vary substantially by age among adults with diabetes. In patients aged ≥ 75 years, less stringent glycemic and blood pressure targets may be appropriate, whereas lipid management remains critically important for reducing cardiovascular mortality.