An approach to minimize inventory risk due to weather using buyback contract with weather rebate

Abstract This paper addresses the inventory risk owing to weather fluctuations faced by retail companies and designs a new class of contract incorporating financial risk hedging. The designed contract not only coordinates the supply chain as the buyback contract does but also improves the supply chain profit by considering the inventory risk due to weather fluctuations. In a buyback contract, the supplier shares a fraction of its revenue with the retailer to compensate for the inventory risk, affecting the supplier's profitability. However, in the proposed contract, the supplier benefits from financial risk hedging in the case of unfavorable weather conditions. This limits the supplier's downside risk, and the supplier mainly uses the gain from the risk hedging to compensate the retailer. Real temperature and demand data are used to analyze the contracts and draw managerial insights. The numerical results show that the designed contract benefits both parties, improves supply chain profit on average by , and minimizes inventory risk as compared to the traditional buyback contracts under weather risk.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Transactions in Operational Research
Published
2026-05-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/itor.70213
Primary Topic
Supply Chain and Inventory Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

An approach to minimize inventory risk due to weather using buyback contract with weather rebate

Piyal Sarkar, Liping Fang, M. I. M. Wahab
International Transactions in Operational Research
Supply Chain and Inventory Management
article

An approach to minimize inventory risk due to weather using buyback contract with weather rebate

Piyal Sarkar, Liping Fang, M. I. M. Wahab
article en

Abstract

Abstract This paper addresses the inventory risk owing to weather fluctuations faced by retail companies and designs a new class of contract incorporating financial risk hedging. The designed contract not only coordinates the supply chain as the buyback contract does but also improves the supply chain profit by considering the inventory risk due to weather fluctuations. In a buyback contract, the supplier shares a fraction of its revenue with the retailer to compensate for the inventory risk, affecting the supplier's profitability. However, in the proposed contract, the supplier benefits from financial risk hedging in the case of unfavorable weather conditions. This limits the supplier's downside risk, and the supplier mainly uses the gain from the risk hedging to compensate the retailer. Real temperature and demand data are used to analyze the contracts and draw managerial insights. The numerical results show that the designed contract benefits both parties, improves supply chain profit on average by , and minimizes inventory risk as compared to the traditional buyback contracts under weather risk.

International Transactions in Operational Research
Pennsylvania State University (US), University of Toronto (CA), Pennsylvania Department of Agriculture (US)
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Supply Chain and Inventory Management
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