Patterns of failure and outcomes in triple-negative compared to estrogen receptor–positive breast cancer.

e12760 Background: Advances in molecular classification have led to subtype-specific treatments for breast cancer, improving outcomes while revealing distinct recurrence patterns. This study compares outcomes and failure patterns between triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and estrogen receptor–positive (ER-positive) disease. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis using whole dataset of the Oncology Research Information Exchange Network (ORIEN), including women with non-metastatic breast cancer. Patients were categorized as TNBC or ER-positive. Outcomes included overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), locoregional control, and patterns of failure. Results: A total of 1,277 patients with stage I–III breast cancer were included, comprising 276 patients with TNBC and 1,001 with ER-positive disease. The median age was 52 years (interquartile range [IQR], 44–62). Most patients were White (83.3%) and non-Hispanic (84.5%). HER2 was positive in 13.4% of ER-positive disease. Compared with TNBC, ER-positive patients more frequently presented with clinical stage I (37.8% vs. 31.9%) and stage II disease (43.0% vs. 39.9%). In contrast, clinical stage III disease was more common among patients with TNBC than those with ER-positive disease (15.2% vs. 8.0%). Neoadjuvant systemic therapy was administered to 154 patients, including 62 (22.5%) with TNBC and 92 (9.2%) with ER-positive disease. Pathological complete response after neoadjuvant systemic therapy was observed in 14 (9.1%) patients (6 TNBC and 8 ER-positive). Adjuvant systemic therapy was delivered to 641 patients, including 108 (39.1%) with TNBC and 533 (53.2%) with ER-positive disease. Among the ER-positive patients who received adjuvant systemic therapy (n = 533), 498 (93.4%) received adjuvant endocrine therapy. Radiation therapy was delivered to approximately two-thirds of patients in both groups. Among those treated with radiation, 83.7% received whole-breast or chest wall irradiation with nodal coverage. Lymph node irradiation was administered in 36.8% of patients, not administered in 33.7%, and was unknown in 29.5%. With a median follow-up of 75.2 months (range, 0–393.7 months), TNBC was associated with significantly worse overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] 2.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.04–3.96), disease-free survival (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.56–2.83), and distant metastasis–free survival (HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.25–4.16) compared with ER-positive disease. No significant differences were observed in local control (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.51–2.70) or regional control (HR 2.28, 95% CI 0.85–6.11) between the two groups. Conclusions: TNBC was associated with significantly worse survival outcomes and higher rates of distant failure compared with ER-positive disease. These results highlight distant metastasis as the dominant pattern of failure in TNBC and support the need for more effective systemic therapies.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2026-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.e12760
Primary Topic
Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
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article
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article

Patterns of failure and outcomes in triple-negative compared to estrogen receptor–positive breast cancer.

Virginia F. Borges, Robert J. Rounbehler, Wajeeha Razaq, Michelle L. Churchman et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
article

Patterns of failure and outcomes in triple-negative compared to estrogen receptor–positive breast cancer.

Virginia F. Borges, Robert J. Rounbehler, Wajeeha Razaq, Michelle L. Churchman, Kathy D. Miller, Sneha Phadke, V. Morgan Jones, Tanun Jitwatcharakomol, Jacob Eckstein, Hatem Soliman, Kelly Hewitt, Therese Andraos, Yevgeniya Gokun, Craig D. Shriver, Bodour Salhia, Sachin R. Jhawar, Stephen B. Edge, Coral Omene, Patrick Michael Dillon, Sasha Jasmine Beyer
article en

Abstract

e12760 Background: Advances in molecular classification have led to subtype-specific treatments for breast cancer, improving outcomes while revealing distinct recurrence patterns. This study compares outcomes and failure patterns between triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and estrogen receptor–positive (ER-positive) disease. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis using whole dataset of the Oncology Research Information Exchange Network (ORIEN), including women with non-metastatic breast cancer. Patients were categorized as TNBC or ER-positive. Outcomes included overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), locoregional control, and patterns of failure. Results: A total of 1,277 patients with stage I–III breast cancer were included, comprising 276 patients with TNBC and 1,001 with ER-positive disease. The median age was 52 years (interquartile range [IQR], 44–62). Most patients were White (83.3%) and non-Hispanic (84.5%). HER2 was positive in 13.4% of ER-positive disease. Compared with TNBC, ER-positive patients more frequently presented with clinical stage I (37.8% vs. 31.9%) and stage II disease (43.0% vs. 39.9%). In contrast, clinical stage III disease was more common among patients with TNBC than those with ER-positive disease (15.2% vs. 8.0%). Neoadjuvant systemic therapy was administered to 154 patients, including 62 (22.5%) with TNBC and 92 (9.2%) with ER-positive disease. Pathological complete response after neoadjuvant systemic therapy was observed in 14 (9.1%) patients (6 TNBC and 8 ER-positive). Adjuvant systemic therapy was delivered to 641 patients, including 108 (39.1%) with TNBC and 533 (53.2%) with ER-positive disease. Among the ER-positive patients who received adjuvant systemic therapy (n = 533), 498 (93.4%) received adjuvant endocrine therapy. Radiation therapy was delivered to approximately two-thirds of patients in both groups. Among those treated with radiation, 83.7% received whole-breast or chest wall irradiation with nodal coverage. Lymph node irradiation was administered in 36.8% of patients, not administered in 33.7%, and was unknown in 29.5%. With a median follow-up of 75.2 months (range, 0–393.7 months), TNBC was associated with significantly worse overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] 2.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.04–3.96), disease-free survival (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.56–2.83), and distant metastasis–free survival (HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.25–4.16) compared with ER-positive disease. No significant differences were observed in local control (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.51–2.70) or regional control (HR 2.28, 95% CI 0.85–6.11) between the two groups. Conclusions: TNBC was associated with significantly worse survival outcomes and higher rates of distant failure compared with ER-positive disease. These results highlight distant metastasis as the dominant pattern of failure in TNBC and support the need for more effective systemic therapies.

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 44(16_suppl)
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey (US), University of Southern California (US), University of Iowa (US), Indiana University Health (US), Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center (US), Siriraj Hospital (TH), University of Utah (US), Mahidol University (TH), Huntsman Cancer Institute (US), Markey Cancer Center (US), The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center (US), Moffitt Cancer Center (US), Oklahoma State University Oklahoma City (US), University of Colorado Cancer Center (US), OU Health Stephenson Cancer Center, University of Virginia (US), Indiana University – Purdue University Indianapolis (US), University of Colorado Denver (US)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
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