Trends and disparities in prostate cancer and tobacco use–related mortality among adults aged ≥55 years in the United States, 1999-2024: A CDC WONDER analysis.

e17082 Background: Prostate cancer (PC) is one of the leading causes of death among men in the United States and represents a major public health burden. Tobacco use contributes to PC through carcinogen-induced DNA damage, chronic inflammation, and oxidative stress, particularly among men aged ≥55 years bearing the highest mortality burden. Existing literature is only focused on the mortality due to PC but the major contributing factor such as tobacco addiction needs to be addressed; therefore, this study aims to analyze the national mortality trends due to PC and tobacco use. Methods: National mortality trends involving prostate cancer (C61) and tobacco use (F17, T65.2) were examined using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention WONDER database. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 1 million of adults aged ≥55 years, and temporal changes were quantified using Joinpoint regression to evaluate Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: Between 1999 and 2024, 65,035 deaths were attributed to prostate cancer with concurrent tobacco use, with a sustained overall increase in mortality (AAPC: 10.1; 95% CI: 4.8–15.8). Rising trends were observed across racial groups, including Non-Hispanic (NH) Black/African American (AAPC: 11.7; 95% CI: 8.1–15.3) and NH White populations (AAPC: 12.0; 95% CI: 10.0–14.1). Mortality increased across all census regions, with the steepest incline in the Northeast (AAPC: 13.9; 95% CI: 11.1–16.7), followed by the South (AAPC: 12.0; 95% CI: 8.9–15.2), Midwest (AAPC: 11.1; 95% CI: 9.2–13.0), and West (AAPC: 9.3; 95% CI: 7.6–11.0). Urban–rural differences were evident, with mortality increasing in both metropolitan (AAPC: 13.8; 95% CI: 11.3–16.4) and non-metropolitan areas (AAPC: 14.6; 95% CI: 11.6–17.6). Age-specific analysis demonstrated the most profound increase in mortality among older individuals aged 75–85+ years bearing the burden of 42,178 deaths with a persistent increase (AAPC: 12.2; 95% CI: 10.3–14.2) followed by the individuals aged 55–74 years with 22,857 deaths (AAPC: 9.1; 95% CI: 4.2–14.3). Conclusions: Mortality involving PC and tobacco use has increased substantially over the past two decades, with consistently increasing trends across geo-demographic variables. Older adults (75-85+ years) experience both a higher prevalence of tobacco use and an increased risk of PC, contributing to elevated mortality, underscoring the need for effective population-level tobacco control interventions according to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. There is also a need to integrate the tobacco addiction management into targeted prevention strategies including tobacco cessation services, age-specific screening initiatives, and advancements in diagnostic and treatment modalities to mitigate the risk of PC associated mortality.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2026-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.e17082
Primary Topic
Prostate Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
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article
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article

Trends and disparities in prostate cancer and tobacco use–related mortality among adults aged ≥55 years in the United States, 1999-2024: A CDC WONDER analysis.

Safi Ur Rehman Daim, Rana Uzair Ahmad, AS Abbas, Mahnoor Jan et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Prostate Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Trends and disparities in prostate cancer and tobacco use–related mortality among adults aged ≥55 years in the United States, 1999-2024: A CDC WONDER analysis.

Safi Ur Rehman Daim, Rana Uzair Ahmad, AS Abbas, Mahnoor Jan, Zain Ali, Maheen Rizwan, Taha Bin Nayyar, Syeda Rukhma Nadeem, Bilal Ahmad
article en

Abstract

e17082 Background: Prostate cancer (PC) is one of the leading causes of death among men in the United States and represents a major public health burden. Tobacco use contributes to PC through carcinogen-induced DNA damage, chronic inflammation, and oxidative stress, particularly among men aged ≥55 years bearing the highest mortality burden. Existing literature is only focused on the mortality due to PC but the major contributing factor such as tobacco addiction needs to be addressed; therefore, this study aims to analyze the national mortality trends due to PC and tobacco use. Methods: National mortality trends involving prostate cancer (C61) and tobacco use (F17, T65.2) were examined using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention WONDER database. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 1 million of adults aged ≥55 years, and temporal changes were quantified using Joinpoint regression to evaluate Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results: Between 1999 and 2024, 65,035 deaths were attributed to prostate cancer with concurrent tobacco use, with a sustained overall increase in mortality (AAPC: 10.1; 95% CI: 4.8–15.8). Rising trends were observed across racial groups, including Non-Hispanic (NH) Black/African American (AAPC: 11.7; 95% CI: 8.1–15.3) and NH White populations (AAPC: 12.0; 95% CI: 10.0–14.1). Mortality increased across all census regions, with the steepest incline in the Northeast (AAPC: 13.9; 95% CI: 11.1–16.7), followed by the South (AAPC: 12.0; 95% CI: 8.9–15.2), Midwest (AAPC: 11.1; 95% CI: 9.2–13.0), and West (AAPC: 9.3; 95% CI: 7.6–11.0). Urban–rural differences were evident, with mortality increasing in both metropolitan (AAPC: 13.8; 95% CI: 11.3–16.4) and non-metropolitan areas (AAPC: 14.6; 95% CI: 11.6–17.6). Age-specific analysis demonstrated the most profound increase in mortality among older individuals aged 75–85+ years bearing the burden of 42,178 deaths with a persistent increase (AAPC: 12.2; 95% CI: 10.3–14.2) followed by the individuals aged 55–74 years with 22,857 deaths (AAPC: 9.1; 95% CI: 4.2–14.3). Conclusions: Mortality involving PC and tobacco use has increased substantially over the past two decades, with consistently increasing trends across geo-demographic variables. Older adults (75-85+ years) experience both a higher prevalence of tobacco use and an increased risk of PC, contributing to elevated mortality, underscoring the need for effective population-level tobacco control interventions according to the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. There is also a need to integrate the tobacco addiction management into targeted prevention strategies including tobacco cessation services, age-specific screening initiatives, and advancements in diagnostic and treatment modalities to mitigate the risk of PC associated mortality.

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 44(16_suppl)
Trinity Health (US), Carle Foundation Hospital (US), Fatima Jinnah Medical University (PK), University of Wah (PK), Shaikh Zayed Hospital (PK), Shaikh Zayed Postgraduate Medical Institute (PK), Zhejiang University (CN), University of Gujrat (PK)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Prostate Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
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