Evaluation of PBL Schemes in Weather Research and Forecasting Model Simulations of Downslope Windstorm over Modest Terrain in Southern Brazil

Vento Norte (VNOR; Portuguese for North Wind) is a downslope windstorm that develops over modest terrain in the central region of Rio Grande do Sul (RS), southern Brazil. The regional topography is characterized by an abrupt terrain transition with elevation differences of approximately 400–500 m. This atmospheric flow typically occurs during the cold season and is characterized by strong wind gusts, rapid warming, and drying of the planetary boundary layer (PBL). In this study, the performance of different PBL parameterization schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is assessed for simulating a VNOR event that occurred between 19 and 20 August 2021 in Santa Maria (SMA), RS. Five high-resolution numerical simulations were conducted using the Yonsei University (YSU), Asymmetric Convective Model version 2 (ACM2), Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino level 2.5 (MYNN2.5), Quasi-Normal Scale Elimination (QNSE), and Three-Dimensional Turbulent Kinetic Energy (3DTKE) PBL schemes. Model results were evaluated against observations from a flux tower providing turbulence measurements, twice-daily radiosoundings, and hourly surface meteorological observations. Statistical metrics indicate that the MYNN2.5 scheme provided the most accurate representation of the nighttime stable boundary layer preceding the VNOR, as well as its onset and subsequent evolution. Although this study analyzes a single VNOR event and the results may be case-dependent, the overall performance of the MYNN2.5 scheme suggests that it is a promising option for the operational forecasting of VNOR events. These findings provide new insights into the ability of different PBL schemes to reproduce the mean boundary-layer structure and turbulence characteristics associated with downslope windstorms over modest terrain, contributing to the understanding of these events.