Persistent and divergent cervical cancer burden in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2023.

e22588 Background: Cervical cancer is among the most preventable malignancies, yet sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) bears the highest global burden with substantial sub-regional heterogeneity often obscured by regional aggregates. Sub-regional analyses are needed to guide targeted interventions. Methods: Using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 data, we analyzed age-standardized incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (ASDALYR) per 100,000 people for cervical cancer from 1990–2023 across Central, Eastern, Southern, and Western SSA. Global rates were used as a comparator. Temporal trends were quantified using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: In 2023, SSA maintained the highest global cervical cancer burden, with ASIR 55.9, ASMR 27.1, ASDALYR 1040.9, representing more than two- to four-fold global rates. Eastern SSA had the highest burden in 2023; ASIR increased to 78.7 (EAPC 0.37%; 0.22, 0.52) while ASMR of 37.0, and ASDALYR of 1470.6 were stable. Central SSA burden increased over time, ranking second in 2023 burden, with 2023 ASIR of 63.9 (EAPC 1.48%; 1.19, 1.77), ASMR of 31.4 (1.02%; 0.82, 1.22), and ASDALYR of 1228.9 (1.10%; 0.85, 1.35). Southern SSA, despite the lowest 1990 burden, had the steepest increases, with 2023 ASIR of 46.2 (2.67%; 2.39, 2.94), ASMR of 23.8 (2.19%; 1.93, 2.44), and ASDALYR of 825.3 (2.41%; 2.14, 2.68). In contrast, Western SSA had stable ASIR of 35.7 (−0.10%; −0.35, 0.15) alongside significant declines in ASMR 17.8 (−0.52%; −0.71, −0.32) and ASDALYR to 660.4 (−0.49%; −0.72, −0.26) with the lowest 2023 regional burden. Eswatini, Malawi, and Zambia are countries that had the highest cervical cancer burden and ranked first through third globally (ASIR/ASMR/ASDALYR: 157.6/69.4/2999.1; 135.9/60.0/2598.7; 112.6/55.9/2163.8). South Africa, Malawi, Namibia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Lesotho experienced the largest increases in ASIR (EAPC 1.85−3.19%), ASMR (1.43−2.64%), and ASDALYR (1.48−2.89%); while Rwanda, Mozambique, Madagascar, Comoros, Nigeria, United Republic of Tanzania, and Burkina Faso exhibited the largest declines in ASIR (−0.41 to −1.75%), ASMR (−0.73 to −1.34%), and ASDALYR (−0.71 to −2.00%). Across all SSA regions, all rates showed a post-2020 uptick. Conclusions: Cervical cancer burden in SSA remains the highest globally and is highly heterogeneous, likely reflecting sub-regional differences in HIV burden, HPV vaccination and screening coverage, and health-system capacity. While Western SSA demonstrates progress, rising burden in Central, Eastern, and Southern SSA coupled with post-2020 upticks across regions, underscore persistent gaps in HPV vaccination, screening, and treatment access. Accelerated, region-specific implementation of comprehensive prevention and screen-and-treat strategies is urgently needed to advance cervical cancer elimination goals.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2026-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.e22588
Primary Topic
Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
Type
article
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article

Persistent and divergent cervical cancer burden in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2023.

James Fan Wu, Ruoyi Zhang, Miriam Mutebi, Ya Haddy Sallah et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
article

Persistent and divergent cervical cancer burden in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2023.

James Fan Wu, Ruoyi Zhang, Miriam Mutebi, Ya Haddy Sallah, Erin Jay G. Feliciano, Edward Christopher Dee, Michelle Ann Eala, Constance Shumba
article en

Abstract

e22588 Background: Cervical cancer is among the most preventable malignancies, yet sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) bears the highest global burden with substantial sub-regional heterogeneity often obscured by regional aggregates. Sub-regional analyses are needed to guide targeted interventions. Methods: Using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 data, we analyzed age-standardized incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (ASDALYR) per 100,000 people for cervical cancer from 1990–2023 across Central, Eastern, Southern, and Western SSA. Global rates were used as a comparator. Temporal trends were quantified using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: In 2023, SSA maintained the highest global cervical cancer burden, with ASIR 55.9, ASMR 27.1, ASDALYR 1040.9, representing more than two- to four-fold global rates. Eastern SSA had the highest burden in 2023; ASIR increased to 78.7 (EAPC 0.37%; 0.22, 0.52) while ASMR of 37.0, and ASDALYR of 1470.6 were stable. Central SSA burden increased over time, ranking second in 2023 burden, with 2023 ASIR of 63.9 (EAPC 1.48%; 1.19, 1.77), ASMR of 31.4 (1.02%; 0.82, 1.22), and ASDALYR of 1228.9 (1.10%; 0.85, 1.35). Southern SSA, despite the lowest 1990 burden, had the steepest increases, with 2023 ASIR of 46.2 (2.67%; 2.39, 2.94), ASMR of 23.8 (2.19%; 1.93, 2.44), and ASDALYR of 825.3 (2.41%; 2.14, 2.68). In contrast, Western SSA had stable ASIR of 35.7 (−0.10%; −0.35, 0.15) alongside significant declines in ASMR 17.8 (−0.52%; −0.71, −0.32) and ASDALYR to 660.4 (−0.49%; −0.72, −0.26) with the lowest 2023 regional burden. Eswatini, Malawi, and Zambia are countries that had the highest cervical cancer burden and ranked first through third globally (ASIR/ASMR/ASDALYR: 157.6/69.4/2999.1; 135.9/60.0/2598.7; 112.6/55.9/2163.8). South Africa, Malawi, Namibia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Lesotho experienced the largest increases in ASIR (EAPC 1.85−3.19%), ASMR (1.43−2.64%), and ASDALYR (1.48−2.89%); while Rwanda, Mozambique, Madagascar, Comoros, Nigeria, United Republic of Tanzania, and Burkina Faso exhibited the largest declines in ASIR (−0.41 to −1.75%), ASMR (−0.73 to −1.34%), and ASDALYR (−0.71 to −2.00%). Across all SSA regions, all rates showed a post-2020 uptick. Conclusions: Cervical cancer burden in SSA remains the highest globally and is highly heterogeneous, likely reflecting sub-regional differences in HIV burden, HPV vaccination and screening coverage, and health-system capacity. While Western SSA demonstrates progress, rising burden in Central, Eastern, and Southern SSA coupled with post-2020 upticks across regions, underscore persistent gaps in HPV vaccination, screening, and treatment access. Accelerated, region-specific implementation of comprehensive prevention and screen-and-treat strategies is urgently needed to advance cervical cancer elimination goals.

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 44(16_suppl)
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (US), University of California, Los Angeles (US), Ateneo de Manila University (PH), Medical College of Wisconsin (US), Aga Khan University Hospital Nairobi (KE), UCLA Health (US), Aga Khan University Nairobi (KE)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Cervical Cancer and HPV Research
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