Machine learning workflows in climate modelling: design patterns and insights from case studies

Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly applied in climate modelling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale coupling, data sparsity, robust generalization and integration with scientific workflows. This paper analyses a series of case studies from applied ML research in climate modelling, with a focus on design choices and workflow structure. Rather than reviewing technical details, we aim to synthesize workflow design patterns across diverse projects in ML-enabled climate modelling: from surrogate modelling, ML parameterization and probabilistic programming, to simulation-based inference and physics-informed transfer learning. We unpack how these workflows are grounded in physical knowledge, informed by simulation data and designed to integrate observations. We demonstrate a framework for ensuring rigour in scientific ML through more transparent model development, critical evaluation, informed adaptation and reproducibility, and aim to contribute to lowering the barrier for interdisciplinary collaboration at the interface of data science and climate modelling. This article is part of the theme issue 'Statistical workflow'.

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Publication Details

Journal
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
Published
2026-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2025.0254
Primary Topic
Scientific Computing and Data Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Machine learning workflows in climate modelling: design patterns and insights from case studies

S S Li, Xinyi Ke, Zhewen Hou, Amy Braverman et al.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences
Scientific Computing and Data Management
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Machine learning workflows in climate modelling: design patterns and insights from case studies

S S Li, Xinyi Ke, Zhewen Hou, Amy Braverman, Peter Jin, Subashree Venkatasubramanian, Tian Zheng, Samarth Agrawal
article en

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly applied in climate modelling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale coupling, data sparsity, robust generalization and integration with scientific workflows. This paper analyses a series of case studies from applied ML research in climate modelling, with a focus on design choices and workflow structure. Rather than reviewing technical details, we aim to synthesize workflow design patterns across diverse projects in ML-enabled climate modelling: from surrogate modelling, ML parameterization and probabilistic programming, to simulation-based inference and physics-informed transfer learning. We unpack how these workflows are grounded in physical knowledge, informed by simulation data and designed to integrate observations. We demonstrate a framework for ensuring rigour in scientific ML through more transparent model development, critical evaluation, informed adaptation and reproducibility, and aim to contribute to lowering the barrier for interdisciplinary collaboration at the interface of data science and climate modelling. This article is part of the theme issue 'Statistical workflow'.

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering SciencesVol. 384(2321)
Jet Propulsion Laboratory (US), City University of New York (US), Columbia University (US)
Directorate for Geosciences
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Scientific Computing and Data Management
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