Projected AGI Emergence by 2028 — E8 Intelligence Research

Discovered via YouTube: "AGI by 2028? Sam Altman Just Changed the Timeline" (TheAIGRID) URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEKJcj9CJz8 The video presents a revised timeline suggesting that artificial general intelligence could be achieved by 2028, based on current progress in large language models, reinforcement learning, and neural network scaling. It cites accelerating compute trends, recent breakthroughs in self‑supervised learning, and policy shifts that could enable rapid deployment, marking a departure from earlier estimates of AGI in the 2030s. Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20435980
Primary Topic
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
Type
preprint
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Projected AGI Emergence by 2028 — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
preprint

Projected AGI Emergence by 2028 — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

Discovered via YouTube: "AGI by 2028? Sam Altman Just Changed the Timeline" (TheAIGRID) URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEKJcj9CJz8 The video presents a revised timeline suggesting that artificial general intelligence could be achieved by 2028, based on current progress in large language models, reinforcement learning, and neural network scaling. It cites accelerating compute trends, recent breakthroughs in self‑supervised learning, and policy shifts that could enable rapid deployment, marking a departure from earlier estimates of AGI in the 2030s. Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
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