A deep learning approach to quantify tumor microenvironment features associated with postoperative ctDNA status and outcomes in a phase III FOLFOX-based adjuvant colon cancer trial (N0147; Alliance).
3525 Background: Tumor microenvironment (TME) features of colorectal cancer (CRC) may influence detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and further refine prognosis. We applied a deep learning histopathologic algorithm to quantify TME features in stage III colon cancers and evaluated their association with postoperative ctDNA status among participants in a phase III FOLFOX-based adjuvant trial (NCCTG N0147). Methods: QuantCRC (Aiforia Technologies) was applied to digitized hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole-slide images of stage III colon adenocarcinomas to extract quantitative histopathologic features. Among cases where data met quality control (N=1817), associations between 15 distinct pathologist-defined features and clinical outcomes—time to recurrence (TTR), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS)—were evaluated, stratified by postoperative ctDNA status assessed by a tissue-free assay (Guardant Reveal). Relationships were analyzed using univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models that were adjusted for clinicopathologic and molecular features ( KRAS , BRAF V600E , MMR status). Interaction testing was performed. Results: We found statistically significant quantitative differences for histopathological features by ctDNA status. Features associated with ctDNA positivity(+) included lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and increased %high grade, %tumor budding, %necrosis, and %stroma. ctDNA+ cases had lower %inflammatory stroma and fewer %signet ring cells (all p< 0.006). Multivariable analyses, irrespective of ctDNA status, identified %tumor budding, %mucin, %signet ring cells, %inflammatory tumor bed, and %inflammatory stroma as significantly associated with adverse outcomes (TTR, DFS, OS). Within ctDNA+ cases, higher %immature tumor bed was associated with adverse outcome for all 3 variables. Among ctDNA-negative cases, significantly poorer outcomes (TTR, DFS, OS) were observed for tumors with lower tumor infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) density and reduced %necrosis. After adjustment, significant interactions with ctDNA status were observed for LVI (p< 0.006) and %signet ring cells (p< 0.035) across all outcome variables, for %necrosis with DFS, OS (p<0.040), and for TILs with TTR (p<0.015). Analysis is ongoing for ctDNA tumor fraction as well as tumor genotyping data (739 genes; Guardant360). Conclusions: QuantCRC identifies TME features associated with postoperative ctDNA status that enable risk-stratification within ctDNA groups. Among ctDNA-negative patients, reduced intratumoral TIL density and reduced tumor necrosis identify high-risk subgroups with inferior clinical outcomes, and may have clinical utility.
Authors
- Diana I. Segovia
- Thereasa A. Rich (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3023-6930)
- Rish Pai
- Steven R. Alberts
- Aaron Hardin
- Frank A. Sinicrope
- Qian Shi
Institutions
- Mayo Clinic (US)
- WinnMed (US)
- Guardant (United States) (US)
- Mayo Clinic Hospital (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Clinical Oncology
- Published
- 2026-05-27
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.3525
- Primary Topic
- Cancer Genomics and Diagnostics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00