External validation of a MMAI model for prognosis and chemotherapy benefit prediction in postmenopausal, node-positive, hormone receptor–positive breast cancer patients: Analysis of SWOG S8814.

107 Background: Despite effective endocrine therapy, the absolute benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy varies widely in node-positive HR+ disease, particularly among patients with 1-3 positive nodes. Prognostic tools for these patients often rely on genomic assays, which are costly, timely, or inaccessible in many clinical settings. We present a multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI) model that integrates clinical and histopathological data to quickly stratify risk of distant metastasis and inform therapeutic decisions. Developed in six phase III randomized clinical and validated for chemotherapy benefit in N0 patients, MMAI offers an accessible alternative to genomic tools. Here, we validated MMAI for prognosis and prediction of chemotherapy benefit in SWOG S8814 – a randomized phase III trial of tamoxifen ± chemotherapy (CT) in postmenopausal women with node-positive (N+) HR+ breast cancer. Methods: Patients with digitized baseline H&E- stained diagnostic slides and clinical data (age, tumor size, nodal status) were analyzed (N = 413). The locked MMAI generated a continuous risk score and categorical risk groups (low, high). Associations with disease-free survival (DFS; 168 events) and overall survival (OS; 125 events) were assessed using univariable and multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard models. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated. Differential CT benefit was evaluated by estimating relative risk reduction by MMAI risk groups. Results: MMAI was prognostic for DFS (HR per SD 1.73, 95% CI 1.48–2.03; p < 0.001) and OS (HR per SD 1.93, 95% CI 1.60–2.32; p < 0.001), remaining significant after adjustment for age, tumor size, and nodal burden. In the subset of patients with 1–3 positive nodes (n = 253), MMAI identified differential CT benefit: high-risk patients (56% of the patients) demonstrated a 26.3% relative reduction in 10-year DFS risk with CAF-T+TAM versus TAM alone, while low-risk patients (44% of the patients) derived minimal benefit (1.8% relative reduction in 10-year DFS risk). Additionally, the addition of CT resulted in DFS HRs of 1.21 (95% CI: 0.51-2.83) and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.55-1.23) in low- and high-risk patients, respectively. Conclusions: In SWOG S8814, a locked MMAI model using routinely available pathology and clinical data independently stratified prognosis and identified node-positive HR+ patients most likely to benefit from adjuvant CT, with minimal benefit among MMAI low-risk patients with 1–3 nodes. These findings support the use of MMAI as a fast (hours instead of weeks), scalable, cost-effective, and non-tissue consumptive alternative to genomic testing to inform adjuvant decisions in HR+ N+ EBC patients.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2026-05-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.107
Primary Topic
Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

External validation of a MMAI model for prognosis and chemotherapy benefit prediction in postmenopausal, node-positive, hormone receptor–positive breast cancer patients: Analysis of SWOG S8814.

Jingbin Zhang, Corey Wayne Speers, Allison Meisner, Kathy S. Albain et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
article

External validation of a MMAI model for prognosis and chemotherapy benefit prediction in postmenopausal, node-positive, hormone receptor–positive breast cancer patients: Analysis of SWOG S8814.

Jingbin Zhang, Corey Wayne Speers, Allison Meisner, Kathy S. Albain, L Pusztai, Alexander Piehler, Wouter Zwerink, Alastair M. Thompson, Andrew K. Godwin, Priyanka Sharma, James M. Rae, William E. Barlow, Jacqueline R. Griffin, Calvin Y. Chao
article en

Abstract

107 Background: Despite effective endocrine therapy, the absolute benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy varies widely in node-positive HR+ disease, particularly among patients with 1-3 positive nodes. Prognostic tools for these patients often rely on genomic assays, which are costly, timely, or inaccessible in many clinical settings. We present a multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI) model that integrates clinical and histopathological data to quickly stratify risk of distant metastasis and inform therapeutic decisions. Developed in six phase III randomized clinical and validated for chemotherapy benefit in N0 patients, MMAI offers an accessible alternative to genomic tools. Here, we validated MMAI for prognosis and prediction of chemotherapy benefit in SWOG S8814 – a randomized phase III trial of tamoxifen ± chemotherapy (CT) in postmenopausal women with node-positive (N+) HR+ breast cancer. Methods: Patients with digitized baseline H&E- stained diagnostic slides and clinical data (age, tumor size, nodal status) were analyzed (N = 413). The locked MMAI generated a continuous risk score and categorical risk groups (low, high). Associations with disease-free survival (DFS; 168 events) and overall survival (OS; 125 events) were assessed using univariable and multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard models. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated. Differential CT benefit was evaluated by estimating relative risk reduction by MMAI risk groups. Results: MMAI was prognostic for DFS (HR per SD 1.73, 95% CI 1.48–2.03; p < 0.001) and OS (HR per SD 1.93, 95% CI 1.60–2.32; p < 0.001), remaining significant after adjustment for age, tumor size, and nodal burden. In the subset of patients with 1–3 positive nodes (n = 253), MMAI identified differential CT benefit: high-risk patients (56% of the patients) demonstrated a 26.3% relative reduction in 10-year DFS risk with CAF-T+TAM versus TAM alone, while low-risk patients (44% of the patients) derived minimal benefit (1.8% relative reduction in 10-year DFS risk). Additionally, the addition of CT resulted in DFS HRs of 1.21 (95% CI: 0.51-2.83) and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.55-1.23) in low- and high-risk patients, respectively. Conclusions: In SWOG S8814, a locked MMAI model using routinely available pathology and clinical data independently stratified prognosis and identified node-positive HR+ patients most likely to benefit from adjuvant CT, with minimal benefit among MMAI low-risk patients with 1–3 nodes. These findings support the use of MMAI as a fast (hours instead of weeks), scalable, cost-effective, and non-tissue consumptive alternative to genomic testing to inform adjuvant decisions in HR+ N+ EBC patients.

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 44(16_suppl)
Baylor College of Medicine (US), Loyola University Chicago (US), University of Michigan (US), The Art Institutes (US), Yale Cancer Center (US), University of Alabama at Birmingham (US), Fred Hutch Cancer Center (US), Menlo School (US), Cancer Research And Biostatistics (US), University of Kansas Medical Center (US)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Breast Cancer Treatment Studies
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.