Validation of DiaSurv, an AI-based algorithm for stage II colon cancer risk stratification.

3524 Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in stage II colon cancer (IIA T3N0; IIB T4aN0; IIC T4bN0) remain challenging, as conventional risk factors poorly predict recurrence. This results in both overtreatment and undertreatment. AI-based analysis of routine H&E slides may enable more accurate risk stratification to guide personalized treatment decisions. Methods: DiaSurv Colon is an AI-powered prognostic tool using a deep neural network to extract in an unsupervised way morphological features from H&E-stained WSI and predict 5-year overall survival (OS). Each patient is assigned an individual survival risk score. The model was trained on the TCGA cohort (n = 463) and previously validated on two external cohorts. In this study, we evaluated its performance on two new independent external cohorts, digitized with two different scanners: CHU Caen (n = 201; 5-y OS 47%, 95%CI 39-53%) and IHP (n = 207; 5-y OS 54%, 95%CI 45-61%). Prognostic accuracy was assessed using concordance index (c-index). Multivariate Cox regression and log-rank tests with hazard ratios (HR) were used to compare DiaSurv Colon performance against conventional clinicopathological factors. Results: On external validation, DiaSurv Colon achieved a c-index of 58 (CHU Caen) and 64 (IHP). The AI-based risk score significantly stratified patients: 5-year OS was 64% (95%CI 50-75%) vs 40% (95%CI 32-48%) for low- vs high-risk groups in CHU Caen (p < 0.01), and 64% (95%CI 52-73%) vs 39% (95%CI 26-51%) in IHP (p < 0.001). The risk score demonstrated strong prognostic value with hazard ratios of 1.29 (95%CI 1.05-1.58, p < 0.01) and 1.57 (95%CI 1.23-2.00, p < 0.001) for CHU Caen and IHP, respectively. Conclusions: DiaSurv Colon demonstrated consistent prognostic performance across independent external cohorts, with robust hazard ratios and concordance indices. This AI-based tool may improve risk stratification in stage II colon cancer and support personalized adjuvant therapy decisions with more confidence.

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2026-05-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.3524
Primary Topic
Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
Type
article
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article

Validation of DiaSurv, an AI-based algorithm for stage II colon cancer risk stratification.

Céline Bazille, Jérôme Chetritt, Céline Bossard, Baptiste Gourdin et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
article

Validation of DiaSurv, an AI-based algorithm for stage II colon cancer risk stratification.

Céline Bazille, Jérôme Chetritt, Céline Bossard, Baptiste Gourdin, Yahia Salhi, Lou Rouan
article en

Abstract

3524 Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in stage II colon cancer (IIA T3N0; IIB T4aN0; IIC T4bN0) remain challenging, as conventional risk factors poorly predict recurrence. This results in both overtreatment and undertreatment. AI-based analysis of routine H&E slides may enable more accurate risk stratification to guide personalized treatment decisions. Methods: DiaSurv Colon is an AI-powered prognostic tool using a deep neural network to extract in an unsupervised way morphological features from H&E-stained WSI and predict 5-year overall survival (OS). Each patient is assigned an individual survival risk score. The model was trained on the TCGA cohort (n = 463) and previously validated on two external cohorts. In this study, we evaluated its performance on two new independent external cohorts, digitized with two different scanners: CHU Caen (n = 201; 5-y OS 47%, 95%CI 39-53%) and IHP (n = 207; 5-y OS 54%, 95%CI 45-61%). Prognostic accuracy was assessed using concordance index (c-index). Multivariate Cox regression and log-rank tests with hazard ratios (HR) were used to compare DiaSurv Colon performance against conventional clinicopathological factors. Results: On external validation, DiaSurv Colon achieved a c-index of 58 (CHU Caen) and 64 (IHP). The AI-based risk score significantly stratified patients: 5-year OS was 64% (95%CI 50-75%) vs 40% (95%CI 32-48%) for low- vs high-risk groups in CHU Caen (p < 0.01), and 64% (95%CI 52-73%) vs 39% (95%CI 26-51%) in IHP (p < 0.001). The risk score demonstrated strong prognostic value with hazard ratios of 1.29 (95%CI 1.05-1.58, p < 0.01) and 1.57 (95%CI 1.23-2.00, p < 0.001) for CHU Caen and IHP, respectively. Conclusions: DiaSurv Colon demonstrated consistent prognostic performance across independent external cohorts, with robust hazard ratios and concordance indices. This AI-based tool may improve risk stratification in stage II colon cancer and support personalized adjuvant therapy decisions with more confidence.

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 44(16_suppl)
Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Caen Normandie (FR)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
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