Validation of DiaSurv, an AI-based algorithm for stage II colon cancer risk stratification.
3524 Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in stage II colon cancer (IIA T3N0; IIB T4aN0; IIC T4bN0) remain challenging, as conventional risk factors poorly predict recurrence. This results in both overtreatment and undertreatment. AI-based analysis of routine H&E slides may enable more accurate risk stratification to guide personalized treatment decisions. Methods: DiaSurv Colon is an AI-powered prognostic tool using a deep neural network to extract in an unsupervised way morphological features from H&E-stained WSI and predict 5-year overall survival (OS). Each patient is assigned an individual survival risk score. The model was trained on the TCGA cohort (n = 463) and previously validated on two external cohorts. In this study, we evaluated its performance on two new independent external cohorts, digitized with two different scanners: CHU Caen (n = 201; 5-y OS 47%, 95%CI 39-53%) and IHP (n = 207; 5-y OS 54%, 95%CI 45-61%). Prognostic accuracy was assessed using concordance index (c-index). Multivariate Cox regression and log-rank tests with hazard ratios (HR) were used to compare DiaSurv Colon performance against conventional clinicopathological factors. Results: On external validation, DiaSurv Colon achieved a c-index of 58 (CHU Caen) and 64 (IHP). The AI-based risk score significantly stratified patients: 5-year OS was 64% (95%CI 50-75%) vs 40% (95%CI 32-48%) for low- vs high-risk groups in CHU Caen (p < 0.01), and 64% (95%CI 52-73%) vs 39% (95%CI 26-51%) in IHP (p < 0.001). The risk score demonstrated strong prognostic value with hazard ratios of 1.29 (95%CI 1.05-1.58, p < 0.01) and 1.57 (95%CI 1.23-2.00, p < 0.001) for CHU Caen and IHP, respectively. Conclusions: DiaSurv Colon demonstrated consistent prognostic performance across independent external cohorts, with robust hazard ratios and concordance indices. This AI-based tool may improve risk stratification in stage II colon cancer and support personalized adjuvant therapy decisions with more confidence.
Authors
- Céline Bazille (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0289-6720)
- Jérôme Chetritt
- Céline Bossard
- Baptiste Gourdin
- Yahia Salhi
- Lou Rouan
Institutions
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Caen Normandie (FR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Clinical Oncology
- Published
- 2026-05-27
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.3524
- Primary Topic
- Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00