A Recurring Capture Pattern in Performance Evaluation Systems: Why behavior tends to converge toward short-term measurable outcomes

In many evaluation systems, individuals tend to prioritize actions that produce short-term, measurable results over those that generate long-term value. This paper documents a Recurring Capture Pattern (RCP) observed in performance evaluation systems. Under the institutional condition of evaluation structures that prioritize observable short-term outcomes as primary performance indicators, individually rational behavior systematically converges not toward long-term value creation and exploratory activity, but toward short-term performance optimization. As these behaviors accumulate, they alter the operational conditions of the system itself, resulting in evaluation criteria and behavioral environments increasingly reinforcing short-term outcome orientation, and reinforcing the same behavioral convergence through a recursive institutional feedback loop. The pattern ultimately produces a structural suppression of long-term value formation and exploratory activity, indicating a structural misalignment between institutional objectives and rational behavioral adaptation. This paper analytically describes the structural relationship between institutional design and rational behavioral adaptation.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-05-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20415166
Primary Topic
Evaluation and Performance Assessment
Type
preprint
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preprint

A Recurring Capture Pattern in Performance Evaluation Systems: Why behavior tends to converge toward short-term measurable outcomes

Hiromi Shimamoto
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Evaluation and Performance Assessment
preprint

A Recurring Capture Pattern in Performance Evaluation Systems: Why behavior tends to converge toward short-term measurable outcomes

Hiromi Shimamoto
preprint en

Abstract

In many evaluation systems, individuals tend to prioritize actions that produce short-term, measurable results over those that generate long-term value. This paper documents a Recurring Capture Pattern (RCP) observed in performance evaluation systems. Under the institutional condition of evaluation structures that prioritize observable short-term outcomes as primary performance indicators, individually rational behavior systematically converges not toward long-term value creation and exploratory activity, but toward short-term performance optimization. As these behaviors accumulate, they alter the operational conditions of the system itself, resulting in evaluation criteria and behavioral environments increasingly reinforcing short-term outcome orientation, and reinforcing the same behavioral convergence through a recursive institutional feedback loop. The pattern ultimately produces a structural suppression of long-term value formation and exploratory activity, indicating a structural misalignment between institutional objectives and rational behavioral adaptation. This paper analytically describes the structural relationship between institutional design and rational behavioral adaptation.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Evaluation and Performance Assessment
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