Overall survival (OS) in premenopausal ER+/PR+, HER2− breast cancer (BC) treated with endocrine therapy (ET) ± chemotherapy (CT): A National Cancer Database (NCDB) analysis.

519 Background: The comparative benefit of ET alone vs ET+CT in premenopausal women with stage I-III ER+/PR+, HER2- BC remains uncertain. Although Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) guides CT use, management of premenopausal patients (pts) with low/intermediate RS remains challenging. The ongoing NRG-BR009 trial aims to clarify the relative benefit of CT but has faced accrual issues. To address this question, we evaluated OS difference by treatment among pts with N0 (n=0)/intermediate RS and N1 (n=1-3)/low-intermediate RS disease. Methods: NCDB data were analyzed for women <50 yrs with ER+/PR+, HER2−, stage I-III BC (2005-2022). Variables included tumor size, grade, nodal status (N0/N1), stage, lymphovascular invasion, Ki67, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score (CCS), RS category (low=0-17, intermediate=18-30) and treatments (ET, CT, surgery, radiation [RT]). OS was compared between ET+CT vs ET only groups using the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox models (MVA) were conducted to identify predictors of OS. Results: Median age was 45 yrs (18-49) among 15591 enrolled pts. In N0/intermediate RS group, 3710 (42.5%) received ET+CT and 5022 (57.5%) received ET alone; 5-yr OS was 98.9% with ET+CT vs 98.7% with ET (p=0.40). In N1/low RS group, 1151 (26.2%) received ET+ CT and 3242 (73.8%) received only ET; 5-yr OS was 98.5% with ET+CT vs 98.6% with ET (p=0.85). In N1/intermediate RS, 1718 (69.7%) received ET+CT and 748 (30.3%) received only ET; 5-yr OS was 96.2% with ET+CT vs 95.0% with ET (p=0.28). On univariable analysis, ET+CT did not improve OS in the N0/intermediate RS, N1/low RS, or N1/intermediate RS groups (all p>0.05). MVA further confirmed ET+CT had no OS benefit compared to ET alone in all groups (all p>0.05, Table 1). Among N0/intermediate RS pts, grade 3 disease was associated with worse OS (p<0.05). In N1/low RS subjects, CCS=2 predicted worse OS (p<0.05). In N1/intermediate RS pts, stage III disease and lack of RT predicted worse OS (p<0.05). Conclusions: In premenopausal women with early-stage ER+/PR+, HER2- BC, ET+CT yielded similar OS to ET alone in low/intermediate RS pts. Limitations include inability to assess ovarian function suppression and invasive disease-free survival. Larger studies are needed to validate the above findings and to investigate whether CT could be safely omitted in low-intermediate risk pts. MVA for OS by RS and nodal status (HR, 95%CI). N0, intermediate RS N1, low RS N1, intermediate RS CCS (2 vs 0) 3.87 (0.52-29.00) 23.62 (4.63-120.46) 4.01 (0.43-37.77) Grade (3 vs 1) 7.39 (1.45-37.62) 2.26 (0.26-19.57) 1.64 (0.26-10.35) Stage (III vs I) 1.02 (0.21-4.99) n/a 11.77 (1.90-73.04) ET+CT vs ET 0.73 (0.33-1.62) 0.80 (0.25-2.51) 0.44 (0.14-1.35) RT (yes vs no) 1.02 (0.48-2.19) 2.89 (0.65-12.82) 0.22 (0.08-0.66)

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2026-05-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.519
Primary Topic
Advanced Breast Cancer Therapies
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article
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article

Overall survival (OS) in premenopausal ER+/PR+, HER2− breast cancer (BC) treated with endocrine therapy (ET) ± chemotherapy (CT): A National Cancer Database (NCDB) analysis.

Carmine Valenza, Ruth Sacks, Lan Lei, Kazuaki Takabe et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Advanced Breast Cancer Therapies
article

Overall survival (OS) in premenopausal ER+/PR+, HER2− breast cancer (BC) treated with endocrine therapy (ET) ± chemotherapy (CT): A National Cancer Database (NCDB) analysis.

Carmine Valenza, Ruth Sacks, Lan Lei, Kazuaki Takabe, Sunil S. Badve, Anant Madabhushi, Shipra Gandhi, Kevin Kalinsky, Jeffrey Switchenko, Angelo Marra, Madison T. Canning
article en

Abstract

519 Background: The comparative benefit of ET alone vs ET+CT in premenopausal women with stage I-III ER+/PR+, HER2- BC remains uncertain. Although Oncotype DX recurrence score (RS) guides CT use, management of premenopausal patients (pts) with low/intermediate RS remains challenging. The ongoing NRG-BR009 trial aims to clarify the relative benefit of CT but has faced accrual issues. To address this question, we evaluated OS difference by treatment among pts with N0 (n=0)/intermediate RS and N1 (n=1-3)/low-intermediate RS disease. Methods: NCDB data were analyzed for women <50 yrs with ER+/PR+, HER2−, stage I-III BC (2005-2022). Variables included tumor size, grade, nodal status (N0/N1), stage, lymphovascular invasion, Ki67, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score (CCS), RS category (low=0-17, intermediate=18-30) and treatments (ET, CT, surgery, radiation [RT]). OS was compared between ET+CT vs ET only groups using the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox models (MVA) were conducted to identify predictors of OS. Results: Median age was 45 yrs (18-49) among 15591 enrolled pts. In N0/intermediate RS group, 3710 (42.5%) received ET+CT and 5022 (57.5%) received ET alone; 5-yr OS was 98.9% with ET+CT vs 98.7% with ET (p=0.40). In N1/low RS group, 1151 (26.2%) received ET+ CT and 3242 (73.8%) received only ET; 5-yr OS was 98.5% with ET+CT vs 98.6% with ET (p=0.85). In N1/intermediate RS, 1718 (69.7%) received ET+CT and 748 (30.3%) received only ET; 5-yr OS was 96.2% with ET+CT vs 95.0% with ET (p=0.28). On univariable analysis, ET+CT did not improve OS in the N0/intermediate RS, N1/low RS, or N1/intermediate RS groups (all p>0.05). MVA further confirmed ET+CT had no OS benefit compared to ET alone in all groups (all p>0.05, Table 1). Among N0/intermediate RS pts, grade 3 disease was associated with worse OS (p<0.05). In N1/low RS subjects, CCS=2 predicted worse OS (p<0.05). In N1/intermediate RS pts, stage III disease and lack of RT predicted worse OS (p<0.05). Conclusions: In premenopausal women with early-stage ER+/PR+, HER2- BC, ET+CT yielded similar OS to ET alone in low/intermediate RS pts. Limitations include inability to assess ovarian function suppression and invasive disease-free survival. Larger studies are needed to validate the above findings and to investigate whether CT could be safely omitted in low-intermediate risk pts. MVA for OS by RS and nodal status (HR, 95%CI). N0, intermediate RS N1, low RS N1, intermediate RS CCS (2 vs 0) 3.87 (0.52-29.00) 23.62 (4.63-120.46) 4.01 (0.43-37.77) Grade (3 vs 1) 7.39 (1.45-37.62) 2.26 (0.26-19.57) 1.64 (0.26-10.35) Stage (III vs I) 1.02 (0.21-4.99) n/a 11.77 (1.90-73.04) ET+CT vs ET 0.73 (0.33-1.62) 0.80 (0.25-2.51) 0.44 (0.14-1.35) RT (yes vs no) 1.02 (0.48-2.19) 2.89 (0.65-12.82) 0.22 (0.08-0.66)

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 44(16_suppl)
Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center (US), Emory University (US), Piedmont Cancer Institute (US), Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (US), Winship Cancer Institute
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Advanced Breast Cancer Therapies
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