Hailstorms are predicted to hit harder with climate change

The global likelihood of damage from hailstorms is predicted to increase substantially by the end of the century, owing to increases in hailstone size as the climate warms. However, regional differences are expected, with greater increases in hailstone size and damage in mid-latitudes and reductions in the tropics and subtropics. Mid- and high-latitude regions could face large increases in hail damage, but the subtropics and tropics might see a reduction.

Publication Details

Journal
Nature
Published
2026-05-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-01639-w
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Hailstorms are predicted to hit harder with climate change

Nature
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
article

Hailstorms are predicted to hit harder with climate change

article en

Abstract

The global likelihood of damage from hailstorms is predicted to increase substantially by the end of the century, owing to increases in hailstone size as the climate warms. However, regional differences are expected, with greater increases in hailstone size and damage in mid-latitudes and reductions in the tropics and subtropics. Mid- and high-latitude regions could face large increases in hail damage, but the subtropics and tropics might see a reduction.

Nature
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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Hailstorms are predicted to hit harder with climate change · Nature (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS